Republican control of both the House and Senate forms the primary barrier to impeaching President Trump by December 31, 2026, driving the 87.5% "No" trader consensus as no House majority exists to advance articles and Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority. In early April, Rep. John Larson filed H.Res. 939 with 13 articles alleging usurpation of congressional war powers amid Iran threats, while some Democrats invoked the 25th Amendment, but leadership swiftly quashed efforts to avoid midterm distractions. No floor votes or committee actions followed, underscoring partisan realities. November 2026 midterms represent the key risk for House flips, though Senate math and historical acquittal precedents limit conviction odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$692,396 交易量
$692,396 交易量
是
$692,396 交易量
$692,396 交易量
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of both the House and Senate forms the primary barrier to impeaching President Trump by December 31, 2026, driving the 87.5% "No" trader consensus as no House majority exists to advance articles and Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority. In early April, Rep. John Larson filed H.Res. 939 with 13 articles alleging usurpation of congressional war powers amid Iran threats, while some Democrats invoked the 25th Amendment, but leadership swiftly quashed efforts to avoid midterm distractions. No floor votes or committee actions followed, underscoring partisan realities. November 2026 midterms represent the key risk for House flips, though Senate math and historical acquittal precedents limit conviction odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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