Recent polling in North Carolina’s 1st Congressional District shows Democratic incumbent Don Davis maintaining an edge over Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout, with a late September-early October survey placing him ahead by eight points among likely voters. The race remains competitive following 2025 redistricting that shifted the district toward a Republican lean based on prior statewide results. Davis benefits from higher name recognition and net-positive favorability ratings, while Buckhout’s numbers have declined amid scrutiny over her participation in prediction markets tied to the contest. Early voting begins later this month ahead of the November 3 general election, with traders’ implied probabilities reflecting Davis’s incumbency track record in a rematch against the redrawn map.