The redrawn Florida 22nd Congressional District, an open seat spanning parts of Palm Beach, Broward, Collier, and Hendry counties, has produced a toss-up contest after shifting from prior Democratic-leaning lines. Both Pia Dandiya and Casey Askar won their August 18 primaries decisively, setting up a November 3 general election where recent polling shows narrow or tied margins and Cook Political Report rates the race a toss-up. Heavy Democratic outside spending, including a major House Majority PAC ad buy targeting Askar, has offset Republican advantages in the district’s 2024 presidential voting patterns. Strong fundraising by both candidates, combined with negative campaigning on issues like taxes and business records, has kept the race tight and responsive to late-cycle developments in voter turnout and messaging.