Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, with nearly 88% of the primary vote, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Bonamici’s repeated general-election margins above 40 points and the district’s urban-suburban composition northwest of Portland. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader expectations that only an extraordinary national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event would alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,822 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$1,172 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, with nearly 88% of the primary vote, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Bonamici’s repeated general-election margins above 40 points and the district’s urban-suburban composition northwest of Portland. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader expectations that only an extraordinary national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event would alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,994Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, with nearly 88% of the primary vote, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Bonamici’s repeated general-election margins above 40 points and the district’s urban-suburban composition northwest of Portland. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader expectations that only an extraordinary national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event would alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$4,994Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured the Democratic nomination on May 19, 2026, with nearly 88% of the primary vote, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Bonamici’s repeated general-election margins above 40 points and the district’s urban-suburban composition northwest of Portland. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader expectations that only an extraordinary national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event would alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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