Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley commands 93% trader consensus to win Oregon's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep blue tilt—Kamala Harris carried it by 14 points in 2024—and Merkley's strong track record, including a 57% victory in 2020 amid weak Republican opposition. With primaries on May 19, Merkley faces only a minor Democratic challenger in Paul Damian Wells, while Republicans feature state Sen. David Brock Smith as frontrunner after his March announcement, bolstered by recent party nods. No recent polls show competitiveness, per Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Scenarios like a major scandal, health issue, or overwhelming national GOP wave could challenge this, though Oregon's partisan history and incumbency advantage present steep barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOregon Senate Election Winner
Oregon Senate Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$1,909 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican
$1,035 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley commands 93% trader consensus to win Oregon's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep blue tilt—Kamala Harris carried it by 14 points in 2024—and Merkley's strong track record, including a 57% victory in 2020 amid weak Republican opposition. With primaries on May 19, Merkley faces only a minor Democratic challenger in Paul Damian Wells, while Republicans feature state Sen. David Brock Smith as frontrunner after his March announcement, bolstered by recent party nods. No recent polls show competitiveness, per Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Scenarios like a major scandal, health issue, or overwhelming national GOP wave could challenge this, though Oregon's partisan history and incumbency advantage present steep barriers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,944วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley commands 93% trader consensus to win Oregon's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep blue tilt—Kamala Harris carried it by 14 points in 2024—and Merkley's strong track record, including a 57% victory in 2020 amid weak Republican opposition. With primaries on May 19, Merkley faces only a minor Democratic challenger in Paul Damian Wells, while Republicans feature state Sen. David Brock Smith as frontrunner after his March announcement, bolstered by recent party nods. No recent polls show competitiveness, per Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Scenarios like a major scandal, health issue, or overwhelming national GOP wave could challenge this, though Oregon's partisan history and incumbency advantage present steep barriers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,944วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley commands 93% trader consensus to win Oregon's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep blue tilt—Kamala Harris carried it by 14 points in 2024—and Merkley's strong track record, including a 57% victory in 2020 amid weak Republican opposition. With primaries on May 19, Merkley faces only a minor Democratic challenger in Paul Damian Wells, while Republicans feature state Sen. David Brock Smith as frontrunner after his March announcement, bolstered by recent party nods. No recent polls show competitiveness, per Cook Political Report's Solid D rating. Scenarios like a major scandal, health issue, or overwhelming national GOP wave could challenge this, though Oregon's partisan history and incumbency advantage present steep barriers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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