Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% implied probability to win Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat in November 2026, driven by the state's entrenched Republican dominance—evidenced by double-digit presidential margins for Trump and no Democratic Senate victory since the 1920s—bolstered by consistent GOP success in statewide races. Incumbent Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 nomination as DHS Secretary vacated the seat, sparking a competitive GOP primary on June 16 featuring Rep. Kevin Hern as early polling leader over rivals like former Gov. Kevin Stitt, though Rep. Stephanie Bice recently opted out of challenging Hern. Democrats, led by candidates like Jim Priest, face steep structural barriers amid weak historical turnout and polling; an upset would demand a GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national Democratic wave, or primary chaos fracturing turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$11,921 ปริมาณ
$11,921 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
93%
Democrat
7%
$11,921 ปริมาณ
$11,921 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$6,911 ปริมาณ
93%
Democrat
$5,011 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% implied probability to win Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat in November 2026, driven by the state's entrenched Republican dominance—evidenced by double-digit presidential margins for Trump and no Democratic Senate victory since the 1920s—bolstered by consistent GOP success in statewide races. Incumbent Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 nomination as DHS Secretary vacated the seat, sparking a competitive GOP primary on June 16 featuring Rep. Kevin Hern as early polling leader over rivals like former Gov. Kevin Stitt, though Rep. Stephanie Bice recently opted out of challenging Hern. Democrats, led by candidates like Jim Priest, face steep structural barriers amid weak historical turnout and polling; an upset would demand a GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national Democratic wave, or primary chaos fracturing turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,921วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% implied probability to win Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat in November 2026, driven by the state's entrenched Republican dominance—evidenced by double-digit presidential margins for Trump and no Democratic Senate victory since the 1920s—bolstered by consistent GOP success in statewide races. Incumbent Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 nomination as DHS Secretary vacated the seat, sparking a competitive GOP primary on June 16 featuring Rep. Kevin Hern as early polling leader over rivals like former Gov. Kevin Stitt, though Rep. Stephanie Bice recently opted out of challenging Hern. Democrats, led by candidates like Jim Priest, face steep structural barriers amid weak historical turnout and polling; an upset would demand a GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national Democratic wave, or primary chaos fracturing turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,921วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% implied probability to win Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat in November 2026, driven by the state's entrenched Republican dominance—evidenced by double-digit presidential margins for Trump and no Democratic Senate victory since the 1920s—bolstered by consistent GOP success in statewide races. Incumbent Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 nomination as DHS Secretary vacated the seat, sparking a competitive GOP primary on June 16 featuring Rep. Kevin Hern as early polling leader over rivals like former Gov. Kevin Stitt, though Rep. Stephanie Bice recently opted out of challenging Hern. Democrats, led by candidates like Jim Priest, face steep structural barriers amid weak historical turnout and polling; an upset would demand a GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national Democratic wave, or primary chaos fracturing turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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