Trader consensus on the "Next Senate Majority Leader?" market reflects a razor-thin contest for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, where Republicans defend 23 seats against Democrats' 12 amid 11 retirements (seven GOP-held). Recent polls from April underscore the volatility: Democrats lead in North Carolina (Cooper +3–8%), challengers edge Maine incumbent Susan Collins, and Iowa tilts competitive, offsetting narrow Republican advantages in Ohio (Husted +2–3%). Schumer tops odds as presumptive Democratic leader if his party nets four flips for a 51-seat majority, with Thune close behind on expectations of GOP hold via incumbency in battlegrounds like Georgia. Cotton trails as a potential Republican alternative, but primaries and fresh polling could widen separations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Senate Majority Leader?
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer 26%
John Thune 22%
Tom Cotton 16.6%
Brian Schatz 10%
$62,711 ปริมาณ
$62,711 ปริมาณ
Chuck Schumer
26%
John Thune
22%
Tom Cotton
17%
Brian Schatz
10%
Amy Klobuchar
6%
Mark Kelly
4%
Steve Daines
4%
Cory Booker
3%
John Barrasso
3%
Patty Murray
2%
Lindsey Graham
2%
Chuck Schumer 26%
John Thune 22%
Tom Cotton 16.6%
Brian Schatz 10%
$62,711 ปริมาณ
$62,711 ปริมาณ
Chuck Schumer
26%
John Thune
22%
Tom Cotton
17%
Brian Schatz
10%
Amy Klobuchar
6%
Mark Kelly
4%
Steve Daines
4%
Cory Booker
3%
John Barrasso
3%
Patty Murray
2%
Lindsey Graham
2%
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the "Next Senate Majority Leader?" market reflects a razor-thin contest for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, where Republicans defend 23 seats against Democrats' 12 amid 11 retirements (seven GOP-held). Recent polls from April underscore the volatility: Democrats lead in North Carolina (Cooper +3–8%), challengers edge Maine incumbent Susan Collins, and Iowa tilts competitive, offsetting narrow Republican advantages in Ohio (Husted +2–3%). Schumer tops odds as presumptive Democratic leader if his party nets four flips for a 51-seat majority, with Thune close behind on expectations of GOP hold via incumbency in battlegrounds like Georgia. Cotton trails as a potential Republican alternative, but primaries and fresh polling could widen separations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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