Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Democrat Mary Peltola at 63.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race over incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 35.5%, reflecting her consistent polling edge and fundraising dominance. A March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Peltola leading 49%-44%, expanding to 52.4%-47.6% in a ranked-choice voting simulation—mirroring her prior House victories via Alaska's system. Her Q1 haul of $8.9 million, quadrupling Sullivan's, signals heavy Democratic investment in this pickup opportunity, despite the state's GOP lean. Minor candidates trail at 0.1% each ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan jungle primary, where top four advance to the November 3 general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 64%
Dan Sullivan 36%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$304,957 ปริมาณ
$304,957 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
64%
Dan Sullivan
36%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 64%
Dan Sullivan 36%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$304,957 ปริมาณ
$304,957 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
$152,880 ปริมาณ
64%
Dan Sullivan
$84,170 ปริมาณ
36%
Dustin Darden
$18,887 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ann Diener
$31,369 ปริมาณ
<1%
Richard Grayson
$17,651 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Democrat Mary Peltola at 63.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race over incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 35.5%, reflecting her consistent polling edge and fundraising dominance. A March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Peltola leading 49%-44%, expanding to 52.4%-47.6% in a ranked-choice voting simulation—mirroring her prior House victories via Alaska's system. Her Q1 haul of $8.9 million, quadrupling Sullivan's, signals heavy Democratic investment in this pickup opportunity, despite the state's GOP lean. Minor candidates trail at 0.1% each ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan jungle primary, where top four advance to the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$304,957วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Democrat Mary Peltola at 63.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race over incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 35.5%, reflecting her consistent polling edge and fundraising dominance. A March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Peltola leading 49%-44%, expanding to 52.4%-47.6% in a ranked-choice voting simulation—mirroring her prior House victories via Alaska's system. Her Q1 haul of $8.9 million, quadrupling Sullivan's, signals heavy Democratic investment in this pickup opportunity, despite the state's GOP lean. Minor candidates trail at 0.1% each ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan jungle primary, where top four advance to the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$304,957วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Democrat Mary Peltola at 63.5% implied probability to win Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race over incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 35.5%, reflecting her consistent polling edge and fundraising dominance. A March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Peltola leading 49%-44%, expanding to 52.4%-47.6% in a ranked-choice voting simulation—mirroring her prior House victories via Alaska's system. Her Q1 haul of $8.9 million, quadrupling Sullivan's, signals heavy Democratic investment in this pickup opportunity, despite the state's GOP lean. Minor candidates trail at 0.1% each ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan jungle primary, where top four advance to the November 3 general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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