Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic challenger Mary Peltola at 64% to win Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race over incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan at 35%, driven by a series of polls since October 2025 showing her consistent 6-7 point leads in ranked-choice voting scenarios, including an April Alaska Survey Research survey of likely voters with Peltola at 50% to Sullivan's 43%. Peltola's January campaign launch, record Q1 fundraising of $8.9 million—four times Sullivan's—plus recent announcements of 4,500 volunteers and an expanded affordability platform, signal strong momentum among independents and Alaska Natives. The top-four primary on August 18 and November general loom as pivotal, with a pending Supreme Court ruling on mail ballots adding uncertainty to turnout in this closely contested battleground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 62%
Dan Sullivan 33%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$322,902 ปริมาณ
$322,902 ปริมาณ
Mary Peltola
62%
Dan Sullivan
33%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 62%
Dan Sullivan 33%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$322,902 ปริมาณ
$322,902 ปริมาณ
Mary Peltola
62%
Dan Sullivan
33%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic challenger Mary Peltola at 64% to win Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race over incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan at 35%, driven by a series of polls since October 2025 showing her consistent 6-7 point leads in ranked-choice voting scenarios, including an April Alaska Survey Research survey of likely voters with Peltola at 50% to Sullivan's 43%. Peltola's January campaign launch, record Q1 fundraising of $8.9 million—four times Sullivan's—plus recent announcements of 4,500 volunteers and an expanded affordability platform, signal strong momentum among independents and Alaska Natives. The top-four primary on August 18 and November general loom as pivotal, with a pending Supreme Court ruling on mail ballots adding uncertainty to turnout in this closely contested battleground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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