**Todd Blanche’s nomination as Attorney General, formally sent to the Senate on June 8 after he became acting AG in April, faces a narrow path to confirmation in a chamber with roughly 53 Republicans.** His prior 52–46 confirmation as deputy attorney general sets a baseline, yet several GOP senators on the Judiciary Committee are withholding support pending further assurances on issues including a disputed compensation fund and institutional independence. A July 15 hearing is scheduled, with committee advancement likely requiring near-unanimous Republican backing if Democrats oppose. Traders price 55 or 56 votes highest while assigning substantial probability to no vote or withdrawal by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether Blanche can consolidate enough Republican support to clear both committee and floor hurdles before procedural or political friction intervenes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว55 45%
51 20.1%
52 18%
50 16.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 1, 2027
≤46
1%
47
1%
48
1%
49
1%
50
17%
51
20%
52
18%
53
4%
54
4%
55
45%
56
3%
57
7%
58+
3%
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
5%
55 45%
51 20.1%
52 18%
50 16.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 1, 2027
≤46
$86 ปริมาณ
1%
47
$96 ปริมาณ
1%
48
$88 ปริมาณ
1%
49
$208 ปริมาณ
1%
50
$183 ปริมาณ
17%
51
$326 ปริมาณ
20%
52
$423 ปริมาณ
18%
53
$86 ปริมาณ
4%
54
$111 ปริมาณ
4%
55
$113 ปริมาณ
45%
56
$136 ปริมาณ
3%
57
$140 ปริมาณ
7%
58+
$98 ปริมาณ
3%
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
$1,336 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.**Todd Blanche’s nomination as Attorney General, formally sent to the Senate on June 8 after he became acting AG in April, faces a narrow path to confirmation in a chamber with roughly 53 Republicans.** His prior 52–46 confirmation as deputy attorney general sets a baseline, yet several GOP senators on the Judiciary Committee are withholding support pending further assurances on issues including a disputed compensation fund and institutional independence. A July 15 hearing is scheduled, with committee advancement likely requiring near-unanimous Republican backing if Democrats oppose. Traders price 55 or 56 votes highest while assigning substantial probability to no vote or withdrawal by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether Blanche can consolidate enough Republican support to clear both committee and floor hurdles before procedural or political friction intervenes.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,204วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.**Todd Blanche’s nomination as Attorney General, formally sent to the Senate on June 8 after he became acting AG in April, faces a narrow path to confirmation in a chamber with roughly 53 Republicans.** His prior 52–46 confirmation as deputy attorney general sets a baseline, yet several GOP senators on the Judiciary Committee are withholding support pending further assurances on issues including a disputed compensation fund and institutional independence. A July 15 hearing is scheduled, with committee advancement likely requiring near-unanimous Republican backing if Democrats oppose. Traders price 55 or 56 votes highest while assigning substantial probability to no vote or withdrawal by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether Blanche can consolidate enough Republican support to clear both committee and floor hurdles before procedural or political friction intervenes.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,204วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Todd Blanche’s nomination as Attorney General, formally sent to the Senate on June 8 after he became acting AG in April, faces a narrow path to confirmation in a chamber with roughly 53 Republicans.** His prior 52–46 confirmation as deputy attorney general sets a baseline, yet several GOP senators on the Judiciary Committee are withholding support pending further assurances on issues including a disputed compensation fund and institutional independence. A July 15 hearing is scheduled, with committee advancement likely requiring near-unanimous Republican backing if Democrats oppose. Traders price 55 or 56 votes highest while assigning substantial probability to no vote or withdrawal by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether Blanche can consolidate enough Republican support to clear both committee and floor hurdles before procedural or political friction intervenes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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