Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts secured the GOP nomination in Nebraska's May 12 primary with 80% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus at 58.5% for a Republican winner amid the state's deep-red history and incumbency advantages. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024 with strong blue-collar appeal, commands 38.5% implied probability, fueled by superior Q1 fundraising, a pre-primary poll showing him up 47%-42% over Ricketts, and signals from Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank—who captured 90% on May 12 but may exit to consolidate anti-Republican votes behind Osborn. Democrats trail at 3.5% due to weak statewide infrastructure, with the November 3 general election hinging on turnout in rural and Omaha areas.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRepublican 59%
Independent 39%
Democrat 3.5%
$113,382 ปริมาณ
$113,382 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
59%
Independent
39%
Democrat
4%
Republican 59%
Independent 39%
Democrat 3.5%
$113,382 ปริมาณ
$113,382 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$47,950 ปริมาณ
59%
Independent
$2,936 ปริมาณ
39%
Democrat
$62,495 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts secured the GOP nomination in Nebraska's May 12 primary with 80% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus at 58.5% for a Republican winner amid the state's deep-red history and incumbency advantages. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024 with strong blue-collar appeal, commands 38.5% implied probability, fueled by superior Q1 fundraising, a pre-primary poll showing him up 47%-42% over Ricketts, and signals from Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank—who captured 90% on May 12 but may exit to consolidate anti-Republican votes behind Osborn. Democrats trail at 3.5% due to weak statewide infrastructure, with the November 3 general election hinging on turnout in rural and Omaha areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,382วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts secured the GOP nomination in Nebraska's May 12 primary with 80% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus at 58.5% for a Republican winner amid the state's deep-red history and incumbency advantages. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024 with strong blue-collar appeal, commands 38.5% implied probability, fueled by superior Q1 fundraising, a pre-primary poll showing him up 47%-42% over Ricketts, and signals from Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank—who captured 90% on May 12 but may exit to consolidate anti-Republican votes behind Osborn. Democrats trail at 3.5% due to weak statewide infrastructure, with the November 3 general election hinging on turnout in rural and Omaha areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,382วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts secured the GOP nomination in Nebraska's May 12 primary with 80% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus at 58.5% for a Republican winner amid the state's deep-red history and incumbency advantages. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024 with strong blue-collar appeal, commands 38.5% implied probability, fueled by superior Q1 fundraising, a pre-primary poll showing him up 47%-42% over Ricketts, and signals from Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank—who captured 90% on May 12 but may exit to consolidate anti-Republican votes behind Osborn. Democrats trail at 3.5% due to weak statewide infrastructure, with the November 3 general election hinging on turnout in rural and Omaha areas.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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