Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's April announcement to seek re-election at age 83, backed by President Trump's endorsement, has reinforced trader consensus on a Republican victory in Idaho's deep-red Senate race, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading independent challenger Todd Achilles 48%-34% in a general matchup, underscoring weak opposition ahead of May 19 primaries featuring minor GOP primary rivals like Denny LaVe and a low-fundraising Democratic field including David Roth. Idaho's R+18 partisan voter index and no Democratic Senate win since 1974 underpin the 91.5% implied probability, though a primary upset, nominee scandal, or national anti-GOP wave could narrow the path-to-victory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
$12,529 ปริมาณ
$12,529 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
8%
$12,529 ปริมาณ
$12,529 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$8,437 ปริมาณ
92%
Democrat
$4,092 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's April announcement to seek re-election at age 83, backed by President Trump's endorsement, has reinforced trader consensus on a Republican victory in Idaho's deep-red Senate race, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading independent challenger Todd Achilles 48%-34% in a general matchup, underscoring weak opposition ahead of May 19 primaries featuring minor GOP primary rivals like Denny LaVe and a low-fundraising Democratic field including David Roth. Idaho's R+18 partisan voter index and no Democratic Senate win since 1974 underpin the 91.5% implied probability, though a primary upset, nominee scandal, or national anti-GOP wave could narrow the path-to-victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,529วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's April announcement to seek re-election at age 83, backed by President Trump's endorsement, has reinforced trader consensus on a Republican victory in Idaho's deep-red Senate race, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading independent challenger Todd Achilles 48%-34% in a general matchup, underscoring weak opposition ahead of May 19 primaries featuring minor GOP primary rivals like Denny LaVe and a low-fundraising Democratic field including David Roth. Idaho's R+18 partisan voter index and no Democratic Senate win since 1974 underpin the 91.5% implied probability, though a primary upset, nominee scandal, or national anti-GOP wave could narrow the path-to-victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,529วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's April announcement to seek re-election at age 83, backed by President Trump's endorsement, has reinforced trader consensus on a Republican victory in Idaho's deep-red Senate race, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading independent challenger Todd Achilles 48%-34% in a general matchup, underscoring weak opposition ahead of May 19 primaries featuring minor GOP primary rivals like Denny LaVe and a low-fundraising Democratic field including David Roth. Idaho's R+18 partisan voter index and no Democratic Senate win since 1974 underpin the 91.5% implied probability, though a primary upset, nominee scandal, or national anti-GOP wave could narrow the path-to-victory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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