The retirement of incumbent Democratic Senator Gary Peters has created an open seat in a swing state that narrowly backed Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. A competitive Democratic primary on August 4 features leading contenders Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens, while former Representative Mike Rogers stands as the clear Republican nominee. Recent head-to-head polling shows tight general election matchups, consistent with toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Traders appear to assign a premium to the structural Democratic advantages in Michigan Senate contests and the party's primary field strength, producing the current 73.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$113,805 ปริมาณ
$113,805 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
74%
Republican
26%
$113,805 ปริมาณ
$113,805 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$81,847 ปริมาณ
74%
Republican
$31,958 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of incumbent Democratic Senator Gary Peters has created an open seat in a swing state that narrowly backed Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. A competitive Democratic primary on August 4 features leading contenders Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens, while former Representative Mike Rogers stands as the clear Republican nominee. Recent head-to-head polling shows tight general election matchups, consistent with toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Traders appear to assign a premium to the structural Democratic advantages in Michigan Senate contests and the party's primary field strength, producing the current 73.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,805วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of incumbent Democratic Senator Gary Peters has created an open seat in a swing state that narrowly backed Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. A competitive Democratic primary on August 4 features leading contenders Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens, while former Representative Mike Rogers stands as the clear Republican nominee. Recent head-to-head polling shows tight general election matchups, consistent with toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Traders appear to assign a premium to the structural Democratic advantages in Michigan Senate contests and the party's primary field strength, producing the current 73.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,805วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of incumbent Democratic Senator Gary Peters has created an open seat in a swing state that narrowly backed Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. A competitive Democratic primary on August 4 features leading contenders Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens, while former Representative Mike Rogers stands as the clear Republican nominee. Recent head-to-head polling shows tight general election matchups, consistent with toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Traders appear to assign a premium to the structural Democratic advantages in Michigan Senate contests and the party's primary field strength, producing the current 73.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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