Trader consensus favors the Democrat at 59.5% implied probability in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, pitting former Senator Sherrod Brown against appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted following JD Vance's vice presidency. Brown's dominant May 5 Democratic primary win, capturing over 90% of the vote, has fueled recent market momentum amid massive early spending—$79 million from the Senate Leadership Fund backing Husted and $40 million pledged by the Senate Majority PAC for Democrats. April polls like BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-Brown 47%) and Echelon Insights (Husted 51%-Brown 45%) show a tight contest with a slight GOP edge, but markets diverge toward Brown due to his strong name recognition, appeal to swing voters in battleground Ohio, and special election turnout uncertainties ahead of the November 3 general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOhio Senate Election Winner
Ohio Senate Election Winner
$74,168 ปริมาณ
$74,168 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
60%
Republican
42%
$74,168 ปริมาณ
$74,168 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$43,048 ปริมาณ
60%
Republican
$31,120 ปริมาณ
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors the Democrat at 59.5% implied probability in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, pitting former Senator Sherrod Brown against appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted following JD Vance's vice presidency. Brown's dominant May 5 Democratic primary win, capturing over 90% of the vote, has fueled recent market momentum amid massive early spending—$79 million from the Senate Leadership Fund backing Husted and $40 million pledged by the Senate Majority PAC for Democrats. April polls like BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-Brown 47%) and Echelon Insights (Husted 51%-Brown 45%) show a tight contest with a slight GOP edge, but markets diverge toward Brown due to his strong name recognition, appeal to swing voters in battleground Ohio, and special election turnout uncertainties ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$74,168วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors the Democrat at 59.5% implied probability in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, pitting former Senator Sherrod Brown against appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted following JD Vance's vice presidency. Brown's dominant May 5 Democratic primary win, capturing over 90% of the vote, has fueled recent market momentum amid massive early spending—$79 million from the Senate Leadership Fund backing Husted and $40 million pledged by the Senate Majority PAC for Democrats. April polls like BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-Brown 47%) and Echelon Insights (Husted 51%-Brown 45%) show a tight contest with a slight GOP edge, but markets diverge toward Brown due to his strong name recognition, appeal to swing voters in battleground Ohio, and special election turnout uncertainties ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$74,168วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democrat at 59.5% implied probability in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, pitting former Senator Sherrod Brown against appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted following JD Vance's vice presidency. Brown's dominant May 5 Democratic primary win, capturing over 90% of the vote, has fueled recent market momentum amid massive early spending—$79 million from the Senate Leadership Fund backing Husted and $40 million pledged by the Senate Majority PAC for Democrats. April polls like BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-Brown 47%) and Echelon Insights (Husted 51%-Brown 45%) show a tight contest with a slight GOP edge, but markets diverge toward Brown due to his strong name recognition, appeal to swing voters in battleground Ohio, and special election turnout uncertainties ahead of the November 3 general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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