Florida's Republican tilt and the appointed incumbent's profile drive the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the 2026 special Senate election. Ashley Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's resignation, benefits from her prior role as attorney general and leads recent May polls against Democratic frontrunner Alexander Vindman by 3 to 8 points, though one internal survey showed a narrower gap. Primary contests scheduled for August and the November general election timeline reinforce this positioning, as Florida's voting patterns and Moody's statewide recognition create structural advantages reflected in the 81.5% Republican probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$38,215 ปริมาณ
$38,215 ปริมาณ
Republican
82%
Democrat
19%
$38,215 ปริมาณ
$38,215 ปริมาณ
Republican
$20,108 ปริมาณ
82%
Democrat
$18,107 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt and the appointed incumbent's profile drive the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the 2026 special Senate election. Ashley Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's resignation, benefits from her prior role as attorney general and leads recent May polls against Democratic frontrunner Alexander Vindman by 3 to 8 points, though one internal survey showed a narrower gap. Primary contests scheduled for August and the November general election timeline reinforce this positioning, as Florida's voting patterns and Moody's statewide recognition create structural advantages reflected in the 81.5% Republican probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,215ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt and the appointed incumbent's profile drive the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the 2026 special Senate election. Ashley Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's resignation, benefits from her prior role as attorney general and leads recent May polls against Democratic frontrunner Alexander Vindman by 3 to 8 points, though one internal survey showed a narrower gap. Primary contests scheduled for August and the November general election timeline reinforce this positioning, as Florida's voting patterns and Moody's statewide recognition create structural advantages reflected in the 81.5% Republican probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,215ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican tilt and the appointed incumbent's profile drive the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the 2026 special Senate election. Ashley Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's resignation, benefits from her prior role as attorney general and leads recent May polls against Democratic frontrunner Alexander Vindman by 3 to 8 points, though one internal survey showed a narrower gap. Primary contests scheduled for August and the November general election timeline reinforce this positioning, as Florida's voting patterns and Moody's statewide recognition create structural advantages reflected in the 81.5% Republican probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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