Recent April 2026 CPI data, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March, has anchored trader positioning for the May annual inflation reading, with energy prices—particularly gasoline surges tied to geopolitical tensions—driving the monthly 0.6% gain. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and professional forecaster surveys point to a further lift toward 4.2%, consistent with the market-implied odds clustering at 44.5% for 4.2% and 39.5% for 4.3%. Persistent shelter costs, tariff pass-through effects on goods, and reaccelerating core measures at 2.8% add upward pressure, while any moderation in oil prices could cap the print near the lower end of the contested range ahead of the June 10 release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay Inflation US - Annual
May Inflation US - Annual
4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
≥4.4% 12%
4.1% 5.7%
$350,694 ปริมาณ
$350,694 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
40%
≥4.4%
12%
4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
≥4.4% 12%
4.1% 5.7%
$350,694 ปริมาณ
$350,694 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$19,516 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.4%
$17,416 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.5%
$24,784 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.6%
$22,199 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.7%
$22,790 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.8%
$22,762 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.9%
$29,209 ปริมาณ
<1%
4.0%
$24,318 ปริมาณ
1%
4.1%
$28,449 ปริมาณ
6%
4.2%
$44,292 ปริมาณ
45%
4.3%
$56,683 ปริมาณ
40%
≥4.4%
$38,276 ปริมาณ
12%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March, has anchored trader positioning for the May annual inflation reading, with energy prices—particularly gasoline surges tied to geopolitical tensions—driving the monthly 0.6% gain. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and professional forecaster surveys point to a further lift toward 4.2%, consistent with the market-implied odds clustering at 44.5% for 4.2% and 39.5% for 4.3%. Persistent shelter costs, tariff pass-through effects on goods, and reaccelerating core measures at 2.8% add upward pressure, while any moderation in oil prices could cap the print near the lower end of the contested range ahead of the June 10 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$350,694วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March, has anchored trader positioning for the May annual inflation reading, with energy prices—particularly gasoline surges tied to geopolitical tensions—driving the monthly 0.6% gain. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and professional forecaster surveys point to a further lift toward 4.2%, consistent with the market-implied odds clustering at 44.5% for 4.2% and 39.5% for 4.3%. Persistent shelter costs, tariff pass-through effects on goods, and reaccelerating core measures at 2.8% add upward pressure, while any moderation in oil prices could cap the print near the lower end of the contested range ahead of the June 10 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$350,694วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 CPI data, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March, has anchored trader positioning for the May annual inflation reading, with energy prices—particularly gasoline surges tied to geopolitical tensions—driving the monthly 0.6% gain. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and professional forecaster surveys point to a further lift toward 4.2%, consistent with the market-implied odds clustering at 44.5% for 4.2% and 39.5% for 4.3%. Persistent shelter costs, tariff pass-through effects on goods, and reaccelerating core measures at 2.8% add upward pressure, while any moderation in oil prices could cap the print near the lower end of the contested range ahead of the June 10 release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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