Recent readings show Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) easing to 1.7–1.9% YoY through July 2026, down from earlier 2026 levels near 2.6%, amid government subsidies, fading prior food and energy effects, and softer demand. Market-implied odds heavily favor a 2.0–2.4% annual outcome, reflecting trader expectations that wage pass-through and services price gains will sustain underlying pressures near the Bank of Japan’s 2% target without strong acceleration. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook and recent Tokyo data (core-core at 2.0% in August) support this range, while yen volatility and Middle East energy risks introduce upside uncertainty. The 30% probability assigned to ≤1.9% accounts for potential further moderation from policy measures and subdued growth. Key near-term catalysts include the September BoJ policy meeting and August national CPI release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 69%
≤1.9% 30%
3.0-3.4% <1%
2.5-2.9% <1%
$43,680 ปริมาณ
$43,680 ปริมาณ
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
30%
2.0-2.4%
69%
2.5-2.9%
<1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
2.0-2.4% 69%
≤1.9% 30%
3.0-3.4% <1%
2.5-2.9% <1%
$43,680 ปริมาณ
$43,680 ปริมาณ
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
$12,687 ปริมาณ
30%
2.0-2.4%
$17,284 ปริมาณ
69%
2.5-2.9%
$9,458 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,341 ปริมาณ
1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,326 ปริมาณ
<1%
4.0%+
$1,583 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings show Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) easing to 1.7–1.9% YoY through July 2026, down from earlier 2026 levels near 2.6%, amid government subsidies, fading prior food and energy effects, and softer demand. Market-implied odds heavily favor a 2.0–2.4% annual outcome, reflecting trader expectations that wage pass-through and services price gains will sustain underlying pressures near the Bank of Japan’s 2% target without strong acceleration. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook and recent Tokyo data (core-core at 2.0% in August) support this range, while yen volatility and Middle East energy risks introduce upside uncertainty. The 30% probability assigned to ≤1.9% accounts for potential further moderation from policy measures and subdued growth. Key near-term catalysts include the September BoJ policy meeting and August national CPI release.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,680วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings show Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) easing to 1.7–1.9% YoY through July 2026, down from earlier 2026 levels near 2.6%, amid government subsidies, fading prior food and energy effects, and softer demand. Market-implied odds heavily favor a 2.0–2.4% annual outcome, reflecting trader expectations that wage pass-through and services price gains will sustain underlying pressures near the Bank of Japan’s 2% target without strong acceleration. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook and recent Tokyo data (core-core at 2.0% in August) support this range, while yen volatility and Middle East energy risks introduce upside uncertainty. The 30% probability assigned to ≤1.9% accounts for potential further moderation from policy measures and subdued growth. Key near-term catalysts include the September BoJ policy meeting and August national CPI release.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,680วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 12, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent readings show Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) easing to 1.7–1.9% YoY through July 2026, down from earlier 2026 levels near 2.6%, amid government subsidies, fading prior food and energy effects, and softer demand. Market-implied odds heavily favor a 2.0–2.4% annual outcome, reflecting trader expectations that wage pass-through and services price gains will sustain underlying pressures near the Bank of Japan’s 2% target without strong acceleration. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook and recent Tokyo data (core-core at 2.0% in August) support this range, while yen volatility and Middle East energy risks introduce upside uncertainty. The 30% probability assigned to ≤1.9% accounts for potential further moderation from policy measures and subdued growth. Key near-term catalysts include the September BoJ policy meeting and August national CPI release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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