Tight cattle supplies stemming from prolonged drought conditions across U.S. rangelands have driven ground beef retail prices to $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up sharply from prior-year levels and near multi-year highs. The USDA projects overall beef prices to rise more than 10% for the year, with a range of 2.8–18.3%, reflecting a 2% contraction in domestic production and a national herd at its lowest point in 75 years. Robust consumer demand has sustained elevated wholesale boxed-beef cutouts near $350 per hundredweight, while increased lean-trimming imports have provided only modest relief. Market-implied odds for breaching key price thresholds in 2026 incorporate these fundamentals alongside upcoming catalysts such as the July cattle inventory report and monthly BLS CPI releases, underscoring persistent supply tightness through at least mid-year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$18,696 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
52%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
15%
$18,696 ปริมาณ
$7.000+
$50 ปริมาณ
76%
$8.000+
$1,514 ปริมาณ
52%
$9.000+
$22 ปริมาณ
38%
$10.000+
$17,111 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies stemming from prolonged drought conditions across U.S. rangelands have driven ground beef retail prices to $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up sharply from prior-year levels and near multi-year highs. The USDA projects overall beef prices to rise more than 10% for the year, with a range of 2.8–18.3%, reflecting a 2% contraction in domestic production and a national herd at its lowest point in 75 years. Robust consumer demand has sustained elevated wholesale boxed-beef cutouts near $350 per hundredweight, while increased lean-trimming imports have provided only modest relief. Market-implied odds for breaching key price thresholds in 2026 incorporate these fundamentals alongside upcoming catalysts such as the July cattle inventory report and monthly BLS CPI releases, underscoring persistent supply tightness through at least mid-year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,696วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies stemming from prolonged drought conditions across U.S. rangelands have driven ground beef retail prices to $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up sharply from prior-year levels and near multi-year highs. The USDA projects overall beef prices to rise more than 10% for the year, with a range of 2.8–18.3%, reflecting a 2% contraction in domestic production and a national herd at its lowest point in 75 years. Robust consumer demand has sustained elevated wholesale boxed-beef cutouts near $350 per hundredweight, while increased lean-trimming imports have provided only modest relief. Market-implied odds for breaching key price thresholds in 2026 incorporate these fundamentals alongside upcoming catalysts such as the July cattle inventory report and monthly BLS CPI releases, underscoring persistent supply tightness through at least mid-year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,696วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle supplies stemming from prolonged drought conditions across U.S. rangelands have driven ground beef retail prices to $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up sharply from prior-year levels and near multi-year highs. The USDA projects overall beef prices to rise more than 10% for the year, with a range of 2.8–18.3%, reflecting a 2% contraction in domestic production and a national herd at its lowest point in 75 years. Robust consumer demand has sustained elevated wholesale boxed-beef cutouts near $350 per hundredweight, while increased lean-trimming imports have provided only modest relief. Market-implied odds for breaching key price thresholds in 2026 incorporate these fundamentals alongside upcoming catalysts such as the July cattle inventory report and monthly BLS CPI releases, underscoring persistent supply tightness through at least mid-year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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