Tight cattle supplies from a multi-year herd contraction, with the U.S. inventory at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, remain the dominant driver supporting elevated ground beef prices. Retail averages reached $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up sharply from prior years, amid USDA forecasts for 9.4–12.1% retail beef price gains and wholesale increases of 6.9–14% for the full year. Robust consumer demand, higher feed and processing costs, and limited heifer retention continue to constrain domestic production through at least 2027, though rising lean-beef imports help stabilize ground beef supply. Monthly USDA livestock reports and feed grain price movements represent key near-term catalysts that could influence slaughter pace and market-implied odds for further price thresholds in 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$19,712 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
75%
$8.000+
50%
$9.000+
43%
$10.000+
18%
$19,712 ปริมาณ
$7.000+
$50 ปริมาณ
75%
$8.000+
$1,560 ปริมาณ
50%
$9.000+
$62 ปริมาณ
43%
$10.000+
$18,041 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies from a multi-year herd contraction, with the U.S. inventory at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, remain the dominant driver supporting elevated ground beef prices. Retail averages reached $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up sharply from prior years, amid USDA forecasts for 9.4–12.1% retail beef price gains and wholesale increases of 6.9–14% for the full year. Robust consumer demand, higher feed and processing costs, and limited heifer retention continue to constrain domestic production through at least 2027, though rising lean-beef imports help stabilize ground beef supply. Monthly USDA livestock reports and feed grain price movements represent key near-term catalysts that could influence slaughter pace and market-implied odds for further price thresholds in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,712วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies from a multi-year herd contraction, with the U.S. inventory at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, remain the dominant driver supporting elevated ground beef prices. Retail averages reached $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up sharply from prior years, amid USDA forecasts for 9.4–12.1% retail beef price gains and wholesale increases of 6.9–14% for the full year. Robust consumer demand, higher feed and processing costs, and limited heifer retention continue to constrain domestic production through at least 2027, though rising lean-beef imports help stabilize ground beef supply. Monthly USDA livestock reports and feed grain price movements represent key near-term catalysts that could influence slaughter pace and market-implied odds for further price thresholds in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,712วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle supplies from a multi-year herd contraction, with the U.S. inventory at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, remain the dominant driver supporting elevated ground beef prices. Retail averages reached $6.90 per pound in April 2026, up sharply from prior years, amid USDA forecasts for 9.4–12.1% retail beef price gains and wholesale increases of 6.9–14% for the full year. Robust consumer demand, higher feed and processing costs, and limited heifer retention continue to constrain domestic production through at least 2027, though rising lean-beef imports help stabilize ground beef supply. Monthly USDA livestock reports and feed grain price movements represent key near-term catalysts that could influence slaughter pace and market-implied odds for further price thresholds in 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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