Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, represent the primary driver of elevated ground beef prices amid ongoing herd contraction. USDA data show beef production forecasts lowered to 25.547 billion pounds for 2026, down from prior estimates, while retail ground beef averaged approximately $6.70 per pound in March amid strong consumer demand. Lean trim imports rose sharply in 2025 and early 2026 to offset domestic shortfalls, yet supplies remain constrained. Beef prices overall are projected to climb 9–10% or more this year, with limited herd expansion expected before 2028. Key upcoming catalysts include summer demand patterns and any shifts in feed costs or trade flows that could influence wholesale cutout values near $350 per hundredweight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$19,712 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
53%
$9.000+
47%
$10.000+
19%
$19,712 ปริมาณ
$7.000+
$50 ปริมาณ
76%
$8.000+
$1,560 ปริมาณ
53%
$9.000+
$62 ปริมาณ
47%
$10.000+
$18,041 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, represent the primary driver of elevated ground beef prices amid ongoing herd contraction. USDA data show beef production forecasts lowered to 25.547 billion pounds for 2026, down from prior estimates, while retail ground beef averaged approximately $6.70 per pound in March amid strong consumer demand. Lean trim imports rose sharply in 2025 and early 2026 to offset domestic shortfalls, yet supplies remain constrained. Beef prices overall are projected to climb 9–10% or more this year, with limited herd expansion expected before 2028. Key upcoming catalysts include summer demand patterns and any shifts in feed costs or trade flows that could influence wholesale cutout values near $350 per hundredweight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,712วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, represent the primary driver of elevated ground beef prices amid ongoing herd contraction. USDA data show beef production forecasts lowered to 25.547 billion pounds for 2026, down from prior estimates, while retail ground beef averaged approximately $6.70 per pound in March amid strong consumer demand. Lean trim imports rose sharply in 2025 and early 2026 to offset domestic shortfalls, yet supplies remain constrained. Beef prices overall are projected to climb 9–10% or more this year, with limited herd expansion expected before 2028. Key upcoming catalysts include summer demand patterns and any shifts in feed costs or trade flows that could influence wholesale cutout values near $350 per hundredweight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,712วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, represent the primary driver of elevated ground beef prices amid ongoing herd contraction. USDA data show beef production forecasts lowered to 25.547 billion pounds for 2026, down from prior estimates, while retail ground beef averaged approximately $6.70 per pound in March amid strong consumer demand. Lean trim imports rose sharply in 2025 and early 2026 to offset domestic shortfalls, yet supplies remain constrained. Beef prices overall are projected to climb 9–10% or more this year, with limited herd expansion expected before 2028. Key upcoming catalysts include summer demand patterns and any shifts in feed costs or trade flows that could influence wholesale cutout values near $350 per hundredweight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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