Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 48% implied probability for Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation falling in the 3.5-3.9% range, driven by March 2026 year-over-year headline CPI accelerating to 2.4%—its highest in a year—from 1.8% in February, amid surging gasoline prices tied to the Iran conflict and crude oil volatility. Core measures like CPI-trim and CPI-median hovered at 2.3-2.4%, signaling sticky underlying pressures despite the Bank of Canada's 2% target. With the policy rate steady at 2.25%, the April 29 Monetary Policy Report looms as a pivotal catalyst, potentially revising 2026 forecasts amid geopolitical risks and base effects that could elevate the full-year average. Lower brackets trail at 17% for 2.5-2.9%, reflecting upside energy shock concerns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.5-3.9% 24.3%
2.5–2.9% 13.0%
3.0-3.4% 12.0%
<1.0% 7.0%
$15,915 ปริมาณ
$15,915 ปริมาณ
<1.0%
7%
1.0–1.4%
<1%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
17%
3.0-3.4%
12%
3.5-3.9%
48%
4.0%+
14%
3.5-3.9% 24.3%
2.5–2.9% 13.0%
3.0-3.4% 12.0%
<1.0% 7.0%
$15,915 ปริมาณ
$15,915 ปริมาณ
<1.0%
7%
1.0–1.4%
<1%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
17%
3.0-3.4%
12%
3.5-3.9%
48%
4.0%+
14%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 48% implied probability for Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation falling in the 3.5-3.9% range, driven by March 2026 year-over-year headline CPI accelerating to 2.4%—its highest in a year—from 1.8% in February, amid surging gasoline prices tied to the Iran conflict and crude oil volatility. Core measures like CPI-trim and CPI-median hovered at 2.3-2.4%, signaling sticky underlying pressures despite the Bank of Canada's 2% target. With the policy rate steady at 2.25%, the April 29 Monetary Policy Report looms as a pivotal catalyst, potentially revising 2026 forecasts amid geopolitical risks and base effects that could elevate the full-year average. Lower brackets trail at 17% for 2.5-2.9%, reflecting upside energy shock concerns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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