Polymarket traders assign a 35% implied probability to an April unemployment rate of 4.3%, mirroring March's steady 4.3% BLS print that added 178,000 nonfarm payrolls despite a dip in labor force participation. This positioning gained traction from last week's initial jobless claims plunging 11,000 to 207,000 for the period ended April 11, underscoring resilient layoff trends amid low continuing claims. With odds tightly clustered—4.4% at 27.5%, 4.2% at 18.5%, 4.5% at 15%—competitive dynamics hinge on subtle shifts in private hiring momentum and service-sector ISM readings, as any softening could tilt toward higher readings. Consensus awaits the May 2 BLS release for resolution-defining data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วApril Unemployment Rate
April Unemployment Rate
4.3% 35%
4.4% 28%
4.2% 19%
4.5% 17%
$16,003 ปริมาณ
$16,003 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
≤3.9%
<1%
4.0%
5%
4.1%
7%
4.2%
19%
4.3%
35%
4.4%
28%
4.5%
17%
4.6%
3%
≥4.7%
4%
4.3% 35%
4.4% 28%
4.2% 19%
4.5% 17%
$16,003 ปริมาณ
$16,003 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
≤3.9%
$1,624 ปริมาณ
<1%
4.0%
$488 ปริมาณ
5%
4.1%
$1,171 ปริมาณ
7%
4.2%
$1,430 ปริมาณ
19%
4.3%
$1,848 ปริมาณ
35%
4.4%
$5,103 ปริมาณ
28%
4.5%
$913 ปริมาณ
17%
4.6%
$1,054 ปริมาณ
3%
≥4.7%
$2,373 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders assign a 35% implied probability to an April unemployment rate of 4.3%, mirroring March's steady 4.3% BLS print that added 178,000 nonfarm payrolls despite a dip in labor force participation. This positioning gained traction from last week's initial jobless claims plunging 11,000 to 207,000 for the period ended April 11, underscoring resilient layoff trends amid low continuing claims. With odds tightly clustered—4.4% at 27.5%, 4.2% at 18.5%, 4.5% at 15%—competitive dynamics hinge on subtle shifts in private hiring momentum and service-sector ISM readings, as any softening could tilt toward higher readings. Consensus awaits the May 2 BLS release for resolution-defining data.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 3, 2026, 6:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,003วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 3, 2026, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders assign a 35% implied probability to an April unemployment rate of 4.3%, mirroring March's steady 4.3% BLS print that added 178,000 nonfarm payrolls despite a dip in labor force participation. This positioning gained traction from last week's initial jobless claims plunging 11,000 to 207,000 for the period ended April 11, underscoring resilient layoff trends amid low continuing claims. With odds tightly clustered—4.4% at 27.5%, 4.2% at 18.5%, 4.5% at 15%—competitive dynamics hinge on subtle shifts in private hiring momentum and service-sector ISM readings, as any softening could tilt toward higher readings. Consensus awaits the May 2 BLS release for resolution-defining data.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,003วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 3, 2026, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 35% implied probability to an April unemployment rate of 4.3%, mirroring March's steady 4.3% BLS print that added 178,000 nonfarm payrolls despite a dip in labor force participation. This positioning gained traction from last week's initial jobless claims plunging 11,000 to 207,000 for the period ended April 11, underscoring resilient layoff trends amid low continuing claims. With odds tightly clustered—4.4% at 27.5%, 4.2% at 18.5%, 4.5% at 15%—competitive dynamics hinge on subtle shifts in private hiring momentum and service-sector ISM readings, as any softening could tilt toward higher readings. Consensus awaits the May 2 BLS release for resolution-defining data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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