France's persistent political instability, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections that yielded a hung parliament, continues to challenge government formation but poses limited threat to his fixed five-year term ending May 2027. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's administration survived dual no-confidence votes in late January and early February 2026, using Article 49.3 to force through the delayed 2026 budget amid deficit-reduction efforts, marking the latest stabilization after prior collapses of Michel Barnier and François Bayrou's cabinets. Macron has rejected resignation demands from far-left and far-right blocs, with no significant developments in the past 30 days. Absent scandal, impeachment, or voluntary exit, trader consensus reflects constitutional barriers to early departure, though future budget implementation or confidence motions could pressure the executive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,925,613 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
30 มิถุนายน 2026
3%
$1,925,613 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน 2026
$333,769 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France's persistent political instability, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections that yielded a hung parliament, continues to challenge government formation but poses limited threat to his fixed five-year term ending May 2027. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's administration survived dual no-confidence votes in late January and early February 2026, using Article 49.3 to force through the delayed 2026 budget amid deficit-reduction efforts, marking the latest stabilization after prior collapses of Michel Barnier and François Bayrou's cabinets. Macron has rejected resignation demands from far-left and far-right blocs, with no significant developments in the past 30 days. Absent scandal, impeachment, or voluntary exit, trader consensus reflects constitutional barriers to early departure, though future budget implementation or confidence motions could pressure the executive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,925,613วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France's persistent political instability, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections that yielded a hung parliament, continues to challenge government formation but poses limited threat to his fixed five-year term ending May 2027. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's administration survived dual no-confidence votes in late January and early February 2026, using Article 49.3 to force through the delayed 2026 budget amid deficit-reduction efforts, marking the latest stabilization after prior collapses of Michel Barnier and François Bayrou's cabinets. Macron has rejected resignation demands from far-left and far-right blocs, with no significant developments in the past 30 days. Absent scandal, impeachment, or voluntary exit, trader consensus reflects constitutional barriers to early departure, though future budget implementation or confidence motions could pressure the executive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,925,613วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's persistent political instability, stemming from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections that yielded a hung parliament, continues to challenge government formation but poses limited threat to his fixed five-year term ending May 2027. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's administration survived dual no-confidence votes in late January and early February 2026, using Article 49.3 to force through the delayed 2026 budget amid deficit-reduction efforts, marking the latest stabilization after prior collapses of Michel Barnier and François Bayrou's cabinets. Macron has rejected resignation demands from far-left and far-right blocs, with no significant developments in the past 30 days. Absent scandal, impeachment, or voluntary exit, trader consensus reflects constitutional barriers to early departure, though future budget implementation or confidence motions could pressure the executive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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