France's fragmented National Assembly, resulting from the 2024 snap legislative elections, continues to produce minority governments vulnerable to no-confidence votes. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu narrowly survived multiple motions de censure in January and February 2026 over the 2026 budget, passing it via Article 49.3 despite opposition from left-wing and National Rally blocs. President Emmanuel Macron retains sole authority to dissolve the Assembly—last exercised in June 2024—and has signaled willingness to call snap elections if his government falls, though no such action has occurred recently. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, trader sentiment hinges on fiscal tensions, EU trade disputes like Mercosur, and upcoming parliamentary sessions that could trigger instability ahead of the 2029 full-term vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,057,485 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
30 มิถุนายน 2026
2%
$1,057,485 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน 2026
$75,851 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's fragmented National Assembly, resulting from the 2024 snap legislative elections, continues to produce minority governments vulnerable to no-confidence votes. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu narrowly survived multiple motions de censure in January and February 2026 over the 2026 budget, passing it via Article 49.3 despite opposition from left-wing and National Rally blocs. President Emmanuel Macron retains sole authority to dissolve the Assembly—last exercised in June 2024—and has signaled willingness to call snap elections if his government falls, though no such action has occurred recently. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, trader sentiment hinges on fiscal tensions, EU trade disputes like Mercosur, and upcoming parliamentary sessions that could trigger instability ahead of the 2029 full-term vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,057,485วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's fragmented National Assembly, resulting from the 2024 snap legislative elections, continues to produce minority governments vulnerable to no-confidence votes. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu narrowly survived multiple motions de censure in January and February 2026 over the 2026 budget, passing it via Article 49.3 despite opposition from left-wing and National Rally blocs. President Emmanuel Macron retains sole authority to dissolve the Assembly—last exercised in June 2024—and has signaled willingness to call snap elections if his government falls, though no such action has occurred recently. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, trader sentiment hinges on fiscal tensions, EU trade disputes like Mercosur, and upcoming parliamentary sessions that could trigger instability ahead of the 2029 full-term vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,057,485วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's fragmented National Assembly, resulting from the 2024 snap legislative elections, continues to produce minority governments vulnerable to no-confidence votes. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu narrowly survived multiple motions de censure in January and February 2026 over the 2026 budget, passing it via Article 49.3 despite opposition from left-wing and National Rally blocs. President Emmanuel Macron retains sole authority to dissolve the Assembly—last exercised in June 2024—and has signaled willingness to call snap elections if his government falls, though no such action has occurred recently. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, trader sentiment hinges on fiscal tensions, EU trade disputes like Mercosur, and upcoming parliamentary sessions that could trigger instability ahead of the 2029 full-term vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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