Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's commanding position in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—facing seven challengers including Mark Fitzpatrick and Justin Plante—drives trader consensus toward a 95% implied probability of a Republican general election victory on November 3, reflecting Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic governor since 1994 and consistent 60% GOP margins in recent races. The fragmented primary favors Little's incumbency advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and legislative achievements like tax cuts, despite a recent teachers' union no-confidence vote. Democratic contenders like Maxine Durand face steep barriers in the deep-red state. Realistic challenges include a primary upset producing a polarizing nominee, late scandals, health issues, or an unforeseen national midterm wave boosting Democratic turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIdaho Governor Election Winner
Idaho Governor Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$3,686 ปริมาณ
95%
Democrat
$3,435 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's commanding position in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—facing seven challengers including Mark Fitzpatrick and Justin Plante—drives trader consensus toward a 95% implied probability of a Republican general election victory on November 3, reflecting Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic governor since 1994 and consistent 60% GOP margins in recent races. The fragmented primary favors Little's incumbency advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and legislative achievements like tax cuts, despite a recent teachers' union no-confidence vote. Democratic contenders like Maxine Durand face steep barriers in the deep-red state. Realistic challenges include a primary upset producing a polarizing nominee, late scandals, health issues, or an unforeseen national midterm wave boosting Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,121วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's commanding position in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—facing seven challengers including Mark Fitzpatrick and Justin Plante—drives trader consensus toward a 95% implied probability of a Republican general election victory on November 3, reflecting Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic governor since 1994 and consistent 60% GOP margins in recent races. The fragmented primary favors Little's incumbency advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and legislative achievements like tax cuts, despite a recent teachers' union no-confidence vote. Democratic contenders like Maxine Durand face steep barriers in the deep-red state. Realistic challenges include a primary upset producing a polarizing nominee, late scandals, health issues, or an unforeseen national midterm wave boosting Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,121วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little's commanding position in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—facing seven challengers including Mark Fitzpatrick and Justin Plante—drives trader consensus toward a 95% implied probability of a Republican general election victory on November 3, reflecting Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic governor since 1994 and consistent 60% GOP margins in recent races. The fragmented primary favors Little's incumbency advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and legislative achievements like tax cuts, despite a recent teachers' union no-confidence vote. Democratic contenders like Maxine Durand face steep barriers in the deep-red state. Realistic challenges include a primary upset producing a polarizing nominee, late scandals, health issues, or an unforeseen national midterm wave boosting Democratic turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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