State Rep. Jasmine Clark leads trader consensus at 54% implied probability in the GA-13 Democratic primary, driven by a recent New York Times poll showing her statistically tied with incumbent Rep. David Scott amid 12% undecideds, bolstering her frontrunner status ahead of the May 19 contest. Clark's record Q1 fundraising haul—the largest in district history—with cash-on-hand exceeding the next three candidates combined, plus heavy outside spending from Protect Progress PAC, has widened her edge over Scott's 21.5% share, hampered by ongoing scrutiny of his failure to vote in the past six elections including 2024. Everton Blair Jr. holds third at 15.5% following Ron McKenzie's February suspension and endorsement, while the crowded field splits remaining support in this closely contested race vulnerable to late shifts from turnout or endorsements.