Republican incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin holds Florida's 18th Congressional District, a safely Republican seat where Donald Trump won by 29 points in the last presidential cycle, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 82.5% for the November 2026 general election. The district's inland Polk and Lake County base favors GOP turnout, with Franklin securing easy reelections since defeating Rep. Ross Spano in the 2020 primary. Just days ago, on May 4, 2026, Gov. Ron DeSantis signed a new congressional map passed by the state legislature, projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican edge statewide and further entrenching FL-18 as solid red territory amid Democratic protests. Primaries on August 18 could confirm nominees, including Democrat Deva Simmons, but no recent polling signals shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-18 House Election Winner
FL-18 House Election Winner
$13,354 ปริมาณ
$13,354 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$13,354 ปริมาณ
$13,354 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin holds Florida's 18th Congressional District, a safely Republican seat where Donald Trump won by 29 points in the last presidential cycle, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 82.5% for the November 2026 general election. The district's inland Polk and Lake County base favors GOP turnout, with Franklin securing easy reelections since defeating Rep. Ross Spano in the 2020 primary. Just days ago, on May 4, 2026, Gov. Ron DeSantis signed a new congressional map passed by the state legislature, projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican edge statewide and further entrenching FL-18 as solid red territory amid Democratic protests. Primaries on August 18 could confirm nominees, including Democrat Deva Simmons, but no recent polling signals shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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