Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin's dominant position in Florida's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+14 partisan lean, underpins trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 89.5% to win the 2026 House election. Franklin, who secured 65% in 2024 amid 64% Republican presidential support districtwide, holds $819,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary challengers Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, who report no fundraising. No Republican primary opponent has emerged ahead of the June 12 filing deadline. Statewide Democratic flips in March special elections have failed to impact this inland safe seat, with primaries set for August 18.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-18 House Election Winner
FL-18 House Election Winner
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
8%
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin's dominant position in Florida's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+14 partisan lean, underpins trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 89.5% to win the 2026 House election. Franklin, who secured 65% in 2024 amid 64% Republican presidential support districtwide, holds $819,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary challengers Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, who report no fundraising. No Republican primary opponent has emerged ahead of the June 12 filing deadline. Statewide Democratic flips in March special elections have failed to impact this inland safe seat, with primaries set for August 18.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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