Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, project a daily high near 32°C on September 23 amid typical late-rainy-season conditions, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light southerly winds that limit extreme heating or cooling. This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30–33°C, and recent model runs have converged on this range without significant deviations from guidance issued by regional meteorological services. Trader consensus reflected in the 63% implied probability for 32°C incorporates the moderate chance of afternoon convection potentially capping the peak, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above acknowledge limited potential for clearer skies or stronger insolation. Updated observations and evening model guidance will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
32°C 63%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
34°C or higher 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
20%
32°C
63%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
2%
32°C 63%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
34°C or higher 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
$505 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$176 Vol.
1%
30°C
$262 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,096 Vol.
20%
32°C
$2,034 Vol.
63%
33°C
$274 Vol.
19%
34°C or higher
$225 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, project a daily high near 32°C on September 23 amid typical late-rainy-season conditions, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light southerly winds that limit extreme heating or cooling. This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30–33°C, and recent model runs have converged on this range without significant deviations from guidance issued by regional meteorological services. Trader consensus reflected in the 63% implied probability for 32°C incorporates the moderate chance of afternoon convection potentially capping the peak, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above acknowledge limited potential for clearer skies or stronger insolation. Updated observations and evening model guidance will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,778End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, project a daily high near 32°C on September 23 amid typical late-rainy-season conditions, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light southerly winds that limit extreme heating or cooling. This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30–33°C, and recent model runs have converged on this range without significant deviations from guidance issued by regional meteorological services. Trader consensus reflected in the 63% implied probability for 32°C incorporates the moderate chance of afternoon convection potentially capping the peak, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above acknowledge limited potential for clearer skies or stronger insolation. Updated observations and evening model guidance will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,778End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, project a daily high near 32°C on September 23 amid typical late-rainy-season conditions, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light southerly winds that limit extreme heating or cooling. This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30–33°C, and recent model runs have converged on this range without significant deviations from guidance issued by regional meteorological services. Trader consensus reflected in the 63% implied probability for 32°C incorporates the moderate chance of afternoon convection potentially capping the peak, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above acknowledge limited potential for clearer skies or stronger insolation. Updated observations and evening model guidance will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions