Recent forecasts for Jeddah on September 23, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 36°C, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome. Coastal Red Sea influences and persistent northerly to northwesterly flow under stable high pressure support mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping highs close to the September climatological average of 35–37°C. Model consensus from sources such as Weather Atlas and PredictWind highlights afternoon peaks around 36°C, while slight variations in timing or humidity could shift results to 35°C or 37°C—the next most favored outcomes. No significant atmospheric disturbances appear in the latest guidance, reinforcing trader focus on these narrow thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 23?
36°C 56%
35°C 33%
37°C 10%
38°C 3%
$12,455 Vol.
$12,455 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
33%
36°C
56%
37°C
10%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 56%
35°C 33%
37°C 10%
38°C 3%
$12,455 Vol.
$12,455 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
33%
36°C
56%
37°C
10%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Jeddah on September 23, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 36°C, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome. Coastal Red Sea influences and persistent northerly to northwesterly flow under stable high pressure support mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping highs close to the September climatological average of 35–37°C. Model consensus from sources such as Weather Atlas and PredictWind highlights afternoon peaks around 36°C, while slight variations in timing or humidity could shift results to 35°C or 37°C—the next most favored outcomes. No significant atmospheric disturbances appear in the latest guidance, reinforcing trader focus on these narrow thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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