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Геополитика·Президентство Трампа

Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?

Market icon
Геополитика·Президентство Трампа

Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?

$14,115,594 Объем

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$14,115,594 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта

$2,814,751 Объем

<1%

31 декабря

$167,961 Объем

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.In early January 2026, the United States executed a targeted military raid in Venezuela, capturing President Nicolás Maduro amid longstanding sanctions and disputed 2024 elections, but stopped short of a full-scale ground invasion or occupation. Bipartisan congressional resolutions, including war powers challenges, have sought to curb further escalation, reflecting unease over executive unilateralism. On March 18, the Treasury eased oil sanctions on Venezuela's state company to bolster global supply amid tensions elsewhere, while Caracas replaced its defense minister under U.S. pressure. Ongoing Maduro hearings and threats to indict interim leader Delcy Rodríguez sustain diplomatic leverage without military intensification, anchoring trader consensus against near-term invasion amid no fresh troop deployments or airstrikes.

In early January 2026, the United States executed a targeted military raid in Venezuela, capturing President Nicolás Maduro amid longstanding sanctions and disputed 2024 elections, but stopped short of a full-scale ground invasion or occupation. Bipartisan congressional resolutions, including war powers challenges, have sought to curb further escalation, reflecting unease over executive unilateralism. On March 18, the Treasury eased oil sanctions on Venezuela's state company to bolster global supply amid tensions elsewhere, while Caracas replaced its defense minister under U.S. pressure. Ongoing Maduro hearings and threats to indict interim leader Delcy Rodríguez sustain diplomatic leverage without military intensification, anchoring trader consensus against near-term invasion amid no fresh troop deployments or airstrikes.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.In early January 2026, the United States executed a targeted military raid in Venezuela, capturing President Nicolás Maduro amid longstanding sanctions and disputed 2024 elections, but stopped short of a full-scale ground invasion or occupation. Bipartisan congressional resolutions, including war powers challenges, have sought to curb further escalation, reflecting unease over executive unilateralism. On March 18, the Treasury eased oil sanctions on Venezuela's state company to bolster global supply amid tensions elsewhere, while Caracas replaced its defense minister under U.S. pressure. Ongoing Maduro hearings and threats to indict interim leader Delcy Rodríguez sustain diplomatic leverage without military intensification, anchoring trader consensus against near-term invasion amid no fresh troop deployments or airstrikes.

In early January 2026, the United States executed a targeted military raid in Venezuela, capturing President Nicolás Maduro amid longstanding sanctions and disputed 2024 elections, but stopped short of a full-scale ground invasion or occupation. Bipartisan congressional resolutions, including war powers challenges, have sought to curb further escalation, reflecting unease over executive unilateralism. On March 18, the Treasury eased oil sanctions on Venezuela's state company to bolster global supply amid tensions elsewhere, while Caracas replaced its defense minister under U.S. pressure. Ongoing Maduro hearings and threats to indict interim leader Delcy Rodríguez sustain diplomatic leverage without military intensification, anchoring trader consensus against near-term invasion amid no fresh troop deployments or airstrikes.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 13%, за ним следует «31 марта» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 13¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 13%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $14.1 million с момента запуска рынка Sep 6, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?» — «31 декабря» с 13%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 13%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 марта» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.