This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch McConnell votes to confirm Pete Hegseth in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Secretary of Defense. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If another individual is confirmed as U.S. Defense Secretary for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Hegseth is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.