US and Israel have led military action against Iran with extensive airstrikes since late February 2026, targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and command centers in ongoing operations now entering their second month, prompting Iranian missile retaliations on US bases and Israeli territory. President Trump recently extended a deadline to April 6 for potential strikes on Iran's power grid amid Tehran's efforts to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global energy flows. The UK, France, and Germany (E3) affirmed readiness for proportionate defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missile and drone threats, while 22 nations pledged support for Hormuz security without confirmed strikes. Gulf states remain divided on escalation, with diplomatic pushes from Qatar and Oman contrasting UAE and Saudi tolerance for intensified conflict; the April 6 deadline looms as a pivotal trigger for further participation or de-escalation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhich countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$453,559 Объем
Apr 30, 2026
Saudi Arabia
31%
UAE
22%
Bahrain
9%
Kuwait
7%
Qatar
7%
Jordan
6%
Any E.U. Country
5%
France
5%
Turkey
5%
Oman
4%
UK
3%
Germany
3%
Canada
1%
$453,559 Объем
Saudi Arabia
$65,951 Объем
31%
UAE
$36,584 Объем
22%
Bahrain
$780 Объем
9%
Kuwait
$1,185 Объем
7%
Qatar
$608 Объем
7%
Jordan
$915 Объем
6%
Any E.U. Country
$5,054 Объем
5%
France
$148,499 Объем
5%
Turkey
$14,956 Объем
5%
Oman
$319 Объем
4%
UK
$103,151 Объем
3%
Germany
$75,558 Объем
3%
Canada
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel have led military action against Iran with extensive airstrikes since late February 2026, targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and command centers in ongoing operations now entering their second month, prompting Iranian missile retaliations on US bases and Israeli territory. President Trump recently extended a deadline to April 6 for potential strikes on Iran's power grid amid Tehran's efforts to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global energy flows. The UK, France, and Germany (E3) affirmed readiness for proportionate defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missile and drone threats, while 22 nations pledged support for Hormuz security without confirmed strikes. Gulf states remain divided on escalation, with diplomatic pushes from Qatar and Oman contrasting UAE and Saudi tolerance for intensified conflict; the April 6 deadline looms as a pivotal trigger for further participation or de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Объем
$453,559Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel have led military action against Iran with extensive airstrikes since late February 2026, targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and command centers in ongoing operations now entering their second month, prompting Iranian missile retaliations on US bases and Israeli territory. President Trump recently extended a deadline to April 6 for potential strikes on Iran's power grid amid Tehran's efforts to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global energy flows. The UK, France, and Germany (E3) affirmed readiness for proportionate defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missile and drone threats, while 22 nations pledged support for Hormuz security without confirmed strikes. Gulf states remain divided on escalation, with diplomatic pushes from Qatar and Oman contrasting UAE and Saudi tolerance for intensified conflict; the April 6 deadline looms as a pivotal trigger for further participation or de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$453,559Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel have led military action against Iran with extensive airstrikes since late February 2026, targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and command centers in ongoing operations now entering their second month, prompting Iranian missile retaliations on US bases and Israeli territory. President Trump recently extended a deadline to April 6 for potential strikes on Iran's power grid amid Tehran's efforts to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global energy flows. The UK, France, and Germany (E3) affirmed readiness for proportionate defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missile and drone threats, while 22 nations pledged support for Hormuz security without confirmed strikes. Gulf states remain divided on escalation, with diplomatic pushes from Qatar and Oman contrasting UAE and Saudi tolerance for intensified conflict; the April 6 deadline looms as a pivotal trigger for further participation or de-escalation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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