The US and Israel continue large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military assets, nuclear sites, and leadership—killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026—with recent explosions in Tehran and power cuts to energy infrastructure driving the conflict into its fifth week. Iran retaliated two days ago with ballistic missiles on a Saudi air base, injuring 15 US troops, while Houthis fired on Israel; Gulf states like UAE and Saudi Arabia intercepted hundreds of projectiles defensively but eye offensive strikes if energy facilities are hit. UK, France, and Germany signal readiness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missiles and drones. Stalled US ceasefire talks focus on nuclear limits and Strait of Hormuz access, as Pentagon eyes ground operations; traders watch for coalition expansions or de-escalation before April 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhich countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$472,320 Объем
Apr 30, 2026
Saudi Arabia
26%
UAE
20%
Bahrain
8%
Kuwait
7%
Qatar
6%
Any E.U. Country
6%
Jordan
6%
France
5%
Turkey
4%
Oman
4%
UK
3%
Germany
3%
Canada
1%
$472,320 Объем
Saudi Arabia
$77,887 Объем
26%
UAE
$41,437 Объем
20%
Bahrain
$836 Объем
8%
Kuwait
$1,273 Объем
7%
Qatar
$727 Объем
6%
Any E.U. Country
$5,483 Объем
6%
Jordan
$926 Объем
6%
France
$148,533 Объем
5%
Turkey
$15,006 Объем
4%
Oman
$340 Объем
4%
UK
$103,483 Объем
3%
Germany
$76,390 Объем
3%
Canada
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The US and Israel continue large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military assets, nuclear sites, and leadership—killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026—with recent explosions in Tehran and power cuts to energy infrastructure driving the conflict into its fifth week. Iran retaliated two days ago with ballistic missiles on a Saudi air base, injuring 15 US troops, while Houthis fired on Israel; Gulf states like UAE and Saudi Arabia intercepted hundreds of projectiles defensively but eye offensive strikes if energy facilities are hit. UK, France, and Germany signal readiness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missiles and drones. Stalled US ceasefire talks focus on nuclear limits and Strait of Hormuz access, as Pentagon eyes ground operations; traders watch for coalition expansions or de-escalation before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Объем
$472,320Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The US and Israel continue large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military assets, nuclear sites, and leadership—killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026—with recent explosions in Tehran and power cuts to energy infrastructure driving the conflict into its fifth week. Iran retaliated two days ago with ballistic missiles on a Saudi air base, injuring 15 US troops, while Houthis fired on Israel; Gulf states like UAE and Saudi Arabia intercepted hundreds of projectiles defensively but eye offensive strikes if energy facilities are hit. UK, France, and Germany signal readiness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missiles and drones. Stalled US ceasefire talks focus on nuclear limits and Strait of Hormuz access, as Pentagon eyes ground operations; traders watch for coalition expansions or de-escalation before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$472,320Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US and Israel continue large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military assets, nuclear sites, and leadership—killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026—with recent explosions in Tehran and power cuts to energy infrastructure driving the conflict into its fifth week. Iran retaliated two days ago with ballistic missiles on a Saudi air base, injuring 15 US troops, while Houthis fired on Israel; Gulf states like UAE and Saudi Arabia intercepted hundreds of projectiles defensively but eye offensive strikes if energy facilities are hit. UK, France, and Germany signal readiness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missiles and drones. Stalled US ceasefire talks focus on nuclear limits and Strait of Hormuz access, as Pentagon eyes ground operations; traders watch for coalition expansions or de-escalation before April 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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