Iran's strike on a Kuwaiti power and water station earlier today, March 30, killing one Indian worker, highlights escalating retaliatory military actions against Gulf states amid the US-Israel war on Iran, now in its 30th day under Operation Roaring Lion. Tehran has vowed to target regional oil and gas facilities, including UAE's Ruwais Refinery and Qatar's Ras Laffan, in response to alleged Israeli attacks on its South Pars field earlier this month. Iran-backed Houthis launched their first missile strikes on Israel yesterday, broadening proxy threats to Red Sea shipping. US troop arrivals and diplomatic ceasefire proposals via envoys add uncertainty, but trader consensus anticipates further Iranian escalation before the March 31 deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЧто ударит по Ирану до 31 марта?
Что ударит по Ирану до 31 марта?
$466,954 Объем
Димона (Ядерный исследовательский центр имени Шимона Переса в Негеве)
3%
Бурдж-Халифа
1%
Месторождение Гавар
7%
Месторождение Сафания
5%
Нефтеперерабатывающий завод Абкаик
6%
НПЗ Аль-Зур
8%
Leviathan Field
5%
Khurais Field
12%
Рас-Танура
7%
East–West Pipeline
6%
Месторождение/перерабатывающий комплекс Хабшан
4%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
4%
$466,954 Объем
Димона (Ядерный исследовательский центр имени Шимона Переса в Негеве)
$256,970 Объем
3%
Бурдж-Халифа
$1,510 Объем
1%
Месторождение Гавар
$31,404 Объем
7%
Месторождение Сафания
$41,391 Объем
5%
Нефтеперерабатывающий завод Абкаик
$40,940 Объем
6%
НПЗ Аль-Зур
$75,779 Объем
8%
Leviathan Field
$1,261 Объем
5%
Khurais Field
$4,997 Объем
12%
Рас-Танура
$4,553 Объем
7%
East–West Pipeline
$1,506 Объем
6%
Месторождение/перерабатывающий комплекс Хабшан
$1,114 Объем
4%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
$5,530 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Iran's strike on a Kuwaiti power and water station earlier today, March 30, killing one Indian worker, highlights escalating retaliatory military actions against Gulf states amid the US-Israel war on Iran, now in its 30th day under Operation Roaring Lion. Tehran has vowed to target regional oil and gas facilities, including UAE's Ruwais Refinery and Qatar's Ras Laffan, in response to alleged Israeli attacks on its South Pars field earlier this month. Iran-backed Houthis launched their first missile strikes on Israel yesterday, broadening proxy threats to Red Sea shipping. US troop arrivals and diplomatic ceasefire proposals via envoys add uncertainty, but trader consensus anticipates further Iranian escalation before the March 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Объем
$466,954Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Iran's strike on a Kuwaiti power and water station earlier today, March 30, killing one Indian worker, highlights escalating retaliatory military actions against Gulf states amid the US-Israel war on Iran, now in its 30th day under Operation Roaring Lion. Tehran has vowed to target regional oil and gas facilities, including UAE's Ruwais Refinery and Qatar's Ras Laffan, in response to alleged Israeli attacks on its South Pars field earlier this month. Iran-backed Houthis launched their first missile strikes on Israel yesterday, broadening proxy threats to Red Sea shipping. US troop arrivals and diplomatic ceasefire proposals via envoys add uncertainty, but trader consensus anticipates further Iranian escalation before the March 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Объем
$466,954Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's strike on a Kuwaiti power and water station earlier today, March 30, killing one Indian worker, highlights escalating retaliatory military actions against Gulf states amid the US-Israel war on Iran, now in its 30th day under Operation Roaring Lion. Tehran has vowed to target regional oil and gas facilities, including UAE's Ruwais Refinery and Qatar's Ras Laffan, in response to alleged Israeli attacks on its South Pars field earlier this month. Iran-backed Houthis launched their first missile strikes on Israel yesterday, broadening proxy threats to Red Sea shipping. US troop arrivals and diplomatic ceasefire proposals via envoys add uncertainty, but trader consensus anticipates further Iranian escalation before the March 31 deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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