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U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

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U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$9,824,902 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$9,824,902 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S government funding lapse occurs on March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by March 14, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" any funding lapse will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S government funding lapse occurs on March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by March 14, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" any funding lapse will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$9,824,902
Дата окончания
15 мар. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 10, 2025, 12:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S government funding lapse occurs on March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by March 14, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" any funding lapse will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S government funding lapse occurs on March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by March 14, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" any funding lapse will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S government funding lapse occurs on March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by March 14, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" any funding lapse will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$9,824,902
Дата окончания
15 мар. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 10, 2025, 12:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S government funding lapse occurs on March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by March 14, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" any funding lapse will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Yes

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $9.8 million с момента запуска рынка Jan 10, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.