President Trump's April 2 national address marked the dominant driver of trader sentiment, asserting U.S. strategic objectives in the ongoing Iran war—launched February 28 with Israeli strikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei—are nearing completion after five weeks of precision airstrikes on Iranian command centers, missile sites, and infrastructure, yet operations will intensify for two to three more weeks amid threats to target bridges and power plants. Deployments of over 3,500 additional Marines, 82nd Airborne paratroopers, and expeditionary units to the Gulf have heightened invasion risks, with options floated for seizing Kharg Island or securing the Strait of Hormuz, though no ground entry has occurred despite congressional war powers debates and Iranian missile retaliations on U.S. bases. UN diplomacy and market volatility loom as potential catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоВойска США входят в Иран через..?
Войска США входят в Иран через..?
$103,257,556 Объем
31 марта
<1%
30 апреля
66%
31 декабря
76%
$103,257,556 Объем
31 марта
<1%
30 апреля
66%
31 декабря
76%
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
President Trump's April 2 national address marked the dominant driver of trader sentiment, asserting U.S. strategic objectives in the ongoing Iran war—launched February 28 with Israeli strikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei—are nearing completion after five weeks of precision airstrikes on Iranian command centers, missile sites, and infrastructure, yet operations will intensify for two to three more weeks amid threats to target bridges and power plants. Deployments of over 3,500 additional Marines, 82nd Airborne paratroopers, and expeditionary units to the Gulf have heightened invasion risks, with options floated for seizing Kharg Island or securing the Strait of Hormuz, though no ground entry has occurred despite congressional war powers debates and Iranian missile retaliations on U.S. bases. UN diplomacy and market volatility loom as potential catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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