Recent confidential filing for a SpaceX initial public offering, targeting a June 2026 listing at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and potential $75 billion raise, anchors trader consensus on the 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap outcome at 51.5% implied probability, driven by Starlink's milestone of over 10 million subscribers and forecasted $24 billion in 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation. Falcon rocket reusability and NASA contracts further support premium multiples, though the 26% odds for 2.0T-2.5T reflect caution on public market scrutiny of growth projections amid economic headwinds. Upcoming S-1 prospectus and roadshow will be pivotal catalysts before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX
Капитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX
$1,568,654 Объем
$1,568,654 Объем
<1,0T
2%
1,0–1,5 трлн
9%
1,5Т-2,0Т
52%
2,0–2,5 трлн
26%
2,5–3,0 трлн
7%
3,0T-3,5T
3%
3,5T+
2%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
3%
$1,568,654 Объем
$1,568,654 Объем
<1,0T
2%
1,0–1,5 трлн
9%
1,5Т-2,0Т
52%
2,0–2,5 трлн
26%
2,5–3,0 трлн
7%
3,0T-3,5T
3%
3,5T+
2%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
3%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent confidential filing for a SpaceX initial public offering, targeting a June 2026 listing at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and potential $75 billion raise, anchors trader consensus on the 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap outcome at 51.5% implied probability, driven by Starlink's milestone of over 10 million subscribers and forecasted $24 billion in 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation. Falcon rocket reusability and NASA contracts further support premium multiples, though the 26% odds for 2.0T-2.5T reflect caution on public market scrutiny of growth projections amid economic headwinds. Upcoming S-1 prospectus and roadshow will be pivotal catalysts before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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