PL leads trader consensus for winning the most seats in Brazil's October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 total seats, due to its established base of 15 current senators, effective state-level organization, and alignment with opposition coalitions including UNIÃO and PP. Recent congressional maneuvering, including overrides of presidential vetoes on budget transfers ahead of the vote, has highlighted opposition coordination and the strategic importance of Senate control for the next term. Government-aligned parties such as PT, MDB, and PSD face more fragmented prospects across the contested races, while smaller parties trail amid the focus on major blocs. Traders price in these dynamics as the campaign intensifies in the months before October.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест выиграно
Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест выиграно
Либеральная партия (PL) 73%
MDB 10.1%
UNIÃO 10.0%
ПСБ 6.5%
$256,264 Объем
$256,264 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Либеральная партия (PL)
73%
MDB
9%
UNIÃO
10%
ПСБ
6%
ПТ
4%
PSD
1%
PDT
1%
REPUBLICANOS
<1%
ПОДЕМОС
<1%
PSDB
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PP
<1%
Либеральная партия (PL) 73%
MDB 10.1%
UNIÃO 10.0%
ПСБ 6.5%
$256,264 Объем
$256,264 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Либеральная партия (PL)
$242,894 Объем
73%
MDB
$1,271 Объем
9%
UNIÃO
$1,132 Объем
10%
ПСБ
$1,192 Объем
6%
ПТ
$1,250 Объем
4%
PSD
$1,200 Объем
1%
PDT
$1,080 Объем
1%
REPUBLICANOS
$1,340 Объем
<1%
ПОДЕМОС
$1,463 Объем
<1%
PSDB
$1,133 Объем
<1%
NOVO
$1,257 Объем
<1%
PP
$1,052 Объем
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).PL leads trader consensus for winning the most seats in Brazil's October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 total seats, due to its established base of 15 current senators, effective state-level organization, and alignment with opposition coalitions including UNIÃO and PP. Recent congressional maneuvering, including overrides of presidential vetoes on budget transfers ahead of the vote, has highlighted opposition coordination and the strategic importance of Senate control for the next term. Government-aligned parties such as PT, MDB, and PSD face more fragmented prospects across the contested races, while smaller parties trail amid the focus on major blocs. Traders price in these dynamics as the campaign intensifies in the months before October.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$256,264Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).PL leads trader consensus for winning the most seats in Brazil's October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 total seats, due to its established base of 15 current senators, effective state-level organization, and alignment with opposition coalitions including UNIÃO and PP. Recent congressional maneuvering, including overrides of presidential vetoes on budget transfers ahead of the vote, has highlighted opposition coordination and the strategic importance of Senate control for the next term. Government-aligned parties such as PT, MDB, and PSD face more fragmented prospects across the contested races, while smaller parties trail amid the focus on major blocs. Traders price in these dynamics as the campaign intensifies in the months before October.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$256,264Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...PL leads trader consensus for winning the most seats in Brazil's October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 total seats, due to its established base of 15 current senators, effective state-level organization, and alignment with opposition coalitions including UNIÃO and PP. Recent congressional maneuvering, including overrides of presidential vetoes on budget transfers ahead of the vote, has highlighted opposition coordination and the strategic importance of Senate control for the next term. Government-aligned parties such as PT, MDB, and PSD face more fragmented prospects across the contested races, while smaller parties trail amid the focus on major blocs. Traders price in these dynamics as the campaign intensifies in the months before October.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы