Израиль x Иран перемирие нарушено...?
Израиль x Иран перемирие нарушено...?
$5,053,667 Объем
Jul 16, 2025
27 июня
Нет
11 июля
Нет
31 июля
Нет
31 августа
Нет
30 сентября
Нет
31 октября
Нет
31 декабря
Нет
31 марта 2026 года
Да
30 июня 2026 года
Да
$5,053,667 Объем
27 июня
$209,119 Объем
Нет
11 июля
$410,444 Объем
Нет
31 июля
$157,520 Объем
Нет
31 августа
$334,324 Объем
Нет
30 сентября
$431,464 Объем
Нет
31 октября
$839,695 Объем
Нет
31 декабря
$1,078,690 Объем
Нет
31 марта 2026 года
$1,378,471 Объем
Да
30 июня 2026 года
$213,942 Объем
Да
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the relevant government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives will not qualify.
Actions taken by proxy groups (e.g. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the relevant government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives will not qualify.
Actions taken by proxy groups (e.g. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the relevant government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives will not qualify.
Actions taken by proxy groups (e.g. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Дата создания: Jun 24, 2025, 2:48 PM ET
Объем
$5,053,667Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Дата создания
Jun 24, 2025, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Frequently Asked Questions