Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in intense cross-border conflict that escalated on March 2, 2026, with Hezbollah launching rocket barrages, drones, and artillery targeting Israeli military positions, bases, and northern settlements in response to Israeli strikes on Lebanon amid the broader US-Israel-Iran war. In the past 24 hours as of March 27, Hezbollah claimed over 600 rocket, mortar, and drone attacks, including a strike killing one Israeli civilian in Nahariya and mortars wounding soldiers, while Israel advanced deeper into southern Lebanon, conducting airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure and leadership. Trader consensus reflects sustained Hezbollah military action, with over 700 claimed attacks since early March; potential de-escalation hinges on diplomatic efforts like reported ceasefire talks or Israeli opposition to prolonged fighting, though no major breakthroughs have occurred.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHezbollah military action against Israel on...?
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$20,989 Объем
Apr 30, 2026
April 1
89%
April 2
87%
April 3
85%
April 4
82%
April 5
76%
April 6
81%
April 7
80%
April 8
76%
April 9
75%
April 10
75%
$20,989 Объем
April 1
$803 Объем
89%
April 2
$194 Объем
87%
April 3
$43 Объем
85%
April 4
$0 Объем
82%
April 5
$20 Объем
76%
April 6
$204 Объем
81%
April 7
$19,726 Объем
80%
April 8
$0 Объем
76%
April 9
$0 Объем
75%
April 10
$0 Объем
75%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in intense cross-border conflict that escalated on March 2, 2026, with Hezbollah launching rocket barrages, drones, and artillery targeting Israeli military positions, bases, and northern settlements in response to Israeli strikes on Lebanon amid the broader US-Israel-Iran war. In the past 24 hours as of March 27, Hezbollah claimed over 600 rocket, mortar, and drone attacks, including a strike killing one Israeli civilian in Nahariya and mortars wounding soldiers, while Israel advanced deeper into southern Lebanon, conducting airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure and leadership. Trader consensus reflects sustained Hezbollah military action, with over 700 claimed attacks since early March; potential de-escalation hinges on diplomatic efforts like reported ceasefire talks or Israeli opposition to prolonged fighting, though no major breakthroughs have occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 1:04 PM ET
Объем
$20,989Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 1:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in intense cross-border conflict that escalated on March 2, 2026, with Hezbollah launching rocket barrages, drones, and artillery targeting Israeli military positions, bases, and northern settlements in response to Israeli strikes on Lebanon amid the broader US-Israel-Iran war. In the past 24 hours as of March 27, Hezbollah claimed over 600 rocket, mortar, and drone attacks, including a strike killing one Israeli civilian in Nahariya and mortars wounding soldiers, while Israel advanced deeper into southern Lebanon, conducting airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure and leadership. Trader consensus reflects sustained Hezbollah military action, with over 700 claimed attacks since early March; potential de-escalation hinges on diplomatic efforts like reported ceasefire talks or Israeli opposition to prolonged fighting, though no major breakthroughs have occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$20,989Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 1:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in intense cross-border conflict that escalated on March 2, 2026, with Hezbollah launching rocket barrages, drones, and artillery targeting Israeli military positions, bases, and northern settlements in response to Israeli strikes on Lebanon amid the broader US-Israel-Iran war. In the past 24 hours as of March 27, Hezbollah claimed over 600 rocket, mortar, and drone attacks, including a strike killing one Israeli civilian in Nahariya and mortars wounding soldiers, while Israel advanced deeper into southern Lebanon, conducting airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure and leadership. Trader consensus reflects sustained Hezbollah military action, with over 700 claimed attacks since early March; potential de-escalation hinges on diplomatic efforts like reported ceasefire talks or Israeli opposition to prolonged fighting, though no major breakthroughs have occurred.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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