Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Therese Terlaje as the frontrunner at 53% implied probability for the Guam Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by her role as Speaker of the Legislature, strong name recognition, and consistent leads in early polls showing her ahead by double digits among registered Democrats. Josh Tenorio follows at 30%, gaining traction through his Senate incumbency, aggressive fundraising surpassing $200,000, and appeals to younger voters on economic diversification. Joe S. San Agustin lags at 19.5%, hampered by limited campaign visibility despite his business background. A July poll reinforced Terlaje's edge, while Tenorio's recent labor union endorsements have narrowed the gap slightly ahead of the August 29 primary ballot deadline.