Trader consensus in the GA-11 Republican primary prices John Cowan as a narrow frontrunner at 40% implied probability, with Lisa Carlquist, John Hobbs, and Chris Mora deadlocked at 38.5% in a crowded field splitting conservative support. Recent FEC filings through mid-April show the top contenders clustered in fundraising totals around $200,000-$250,000, lacking a clear financial edge to consolidate voters ahead of the May 21 ballot. Absent public polling, odds hinge on endorsements and ground game; Cowan benefits from small-dollar momentum, while the trio draws from local GOP factions emphasizing immigration and economic issues. Early voting starts May 6, where turnout operations could tip the balance in this closely contested race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоGA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
John Cowan 39%
Lisa Carlquist 39%
John Hobbs 39%
Chris Mora 35%
John Cowan
39%
Lisa Carlquist
39%
John Hobbs
39%
Chris Mora
35%
Rob Adkerson
32%
Tricia Pridemore
30%
William Brown
12%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
21%
John Cowan 39%
Lisa Carlquist 39%
John Hobbs 39%
Chris Mora 35%
John Cowan
39%
Lisa Carlquist
39%
John Hobbs
39%
Chris Mora
35%
Rob Adkerson
32%
Tricia Pridemore
30%
William Brown
12%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
21%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the GA-11 Republican primary prices John Cowan as a narrow frontrunner at 40% implied probability, with Lisa Carlquist, John Hobbs, and Chris Mora deadlocked at 38.5% in a crowded field splitting conservative support. Recent FEC filings through mid-April show the top contenders clustered in fundraising totals around $200,000-$250,000, lacking a clear financial edge to consolidate voters ahead of the May 21 ballot. Absent public polling, odds hinge on endorsements and ground game; Cowan benefits from small-dollar momentum, while the trio draws from local GOP factions emphasizing immigration and economic issues. Early voting starts May 6, where turnout operations could tip the balance in this closely contested race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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