Trader consensus reflects a tight FL-23 Democratic primary between incumbent Jared Moskowitz (35.5%) and challenger Oliver Adams Larkin (31.5%), driven by ideological tensions in the district spanning northern Broward County—Moskowitz's centrist record on Israel policy and immigration enforcement contrasting Larkin's progressive platform advocating Medicare for All, abolishing ICE, and a $25 minimum wage. Larkin's momentum stems from Democratic Socialists of America's first 2026 federal endorsement in late March, additional progressive group backing, and recent media attention highlighting voter dissatisfaction, narrowing the gap from a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Moskowitz maintains advantages in fundraising and name recognition from his 2022 and 2024 wins. Separation could arise from Moskowitz's response to ongoing redistricting uncertainty placing his Parkland home potentially outside FL-23, major endorsements, June 12 qualifying deadline outcomes, or independent polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$19,482 Объем
$19,482 Объем
Джаред Московиц
36%
Оливер Адамс Ларкин
31%
$19,482 Объем
$19,482 Объем
Джаред Московиц
36%
Оливер Адамс Ларкин
31%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a tight FL-23 Democratic primary between incumbent Jared Moskowitz (35.5%) and challenger Oliver Adams Larkin (31.5%), driven by ideological tensions in the district spanning northern Broward County—Moskowitz's centrist record on Israel policy and immigration enforcement contrasting Larkin's progressive platform advocating Medicare for All, abolishing ICE, and a $25 minimum wage. Larkin's momentum stems from Democratic Socialists of America's first 2026 federal endorsement in late March, additional progressive group backing, and recent media attention highlighting voter dissatisfaction, narrowing the gap from a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Moskowitz maintains advantages in fundraising and name recognition from his 2022 and 2024 wins. Separation could arise from Moskowitz's response to ongoing redistricting uncertainty placing his Parkland home potentially outside FL-23, major endorsements, June 12 qualifying deadline outcomes, or independent polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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