In Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary set for August 18, trader consensus favors challenger Oliver Larkin at 32.5% over incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 27%, reflecting a tightening race despite Moskowitz's March poll lead of 45%-11% amid 44% undecideds. Larkin's recent momentum stems from April endorsements by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Progressive Democrats of America, and MPower Action, plus high-profile media hits like his Joy Reid Show appearance criticizing Moskowitz's Caterpillar stock trades linked to Israel aid sales—issues resonating with progressive voters concerned over foreign policy and ethics. Moskowitz retains incumbency, strong fundraising ($1.7 million raised through Q1), and moderate appeal in the coastal Broward-Palm Beach district, keeping the contest competitive. Separation could arise from Q2 fundraising disclosures, independent polls, or a debate showcasing turnout dynamics between grassroots progressives and establishment backers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$19,727 Объем
$19,727 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
Джаред Московиц
35%
Оливер Адамс Ларкин
32%
$19,727 Объем
$19,727 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
Джаред Московиц
$9,048 Объем
35%
Оливер Адамс Ларкин
$10,678 Объем
32%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary set for August 18, trader consensus favors challenger Oliver Larkin at 32.5% over incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 27%, reflecting a tightening race despite Moskowitz's March poll lead of 45%-11% amid 44% undecideds. Larkin's recent momentum stems from April endorsements by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Progressive Democrats of America, and MPower Action, plus high-profile media hits like his Joy Reid Show appearance criticizing Moskowitz's Caterpillar stock trades linked to Israel aid sales—issues resonating with progressive voters concerned over foreign policy and ethics. Moskowitz retains incumbency, strong fundraising ($1.7 million raised through Q1), and moderate appeal in the coastal Broward-Palm Beach district, keeping the contest competitive. Separation could arise from Q2 fundraising disclosures, independent polls, or a debate showcasing turnout dynamics between grassroots progressives and establishment backers.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Объем
$19,727Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary set for August 18, trader consensus favors challenger Oliver Larkin at 32.5% over incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 27%, reflecting a tightening race despite Moskowitz's March poll lead of 45%-11% amid 44% undecideds. Larkin's recent momentum stems from April endorsements by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Progressive Democrats of America, and MPower Action, plus high-profile media hits like his Joy Reid Show appearance criticizing Moskowitz's Caterpillar stock trades linked to Israel aid sales—issues resonating with progressive voters concerned over foreign policy and ethics. Moskowitz retains incumbency, strong fundraising ($1.7 million raised through Q1), and moderate appeal in the coastal Broward-Palm Beach district, keeping the contest competitive. Separation could arise from Q2 fundraising disclosures, independent polls, or a debate showcasing turnout dynamics between grassroots progressives and establishment backers.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$19,727Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary set for August 18, trader consensus favors challenger Oliver Larkin at 32.5% over incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 27%, reflecting a tightening race despite Moskowitz's March poll lead of 45%-11% amid 44% undecideds. Larkin's recent momentum stems from April endorsements by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Progressive Democrats of America, and MPower Action, plus high-profile media hits like his Joy Reid Show appearance criticizing Moskowitz's Caterpillar stock trades linked to Israel aid sales—issues resonating with progressive voters concerned over foreign policy and ethics. Moskowitz retains incumbency, strong fundraising ($1.7 million raised through Q1), and moderate appeal in the coastal Broward-Palm Beach district, keeping the contest competitive. Separation could arise from Q2 fundraising disclosures, independent polls, or a debate showcasing turnout dynamics between grassroots progressives and establishment backers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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