Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 260-279 tweets during March 20-27, 2026, at 38.9% implied probability, closely trailed by 280-299 at 30%, reflecting his steady high-volume X activity averaging 35-45 posts daily in recent months amid Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. This range stems from consistent weekly tallies in Q4 2024 and early 2025, with no verified slowdowns despite platform algorithm tweaks boosting engagement. Competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven volatility—major announcements or controversies could push toward 300+, while quieter periods favor the lower band—though baseline habits dominate without confirmed 2026 catalysts like earnings calls or launches. Odds underscore skin-in-the-game wisdom, with resolution tied to official X archives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИлон Маск # tweets 20 марта - 27 марта 2026?
Илон Маск # tweets 20 марта - 27 марта 2026?
260-279 39.3%
280-299 30%
240-259 12.8%
300-319 13%
$7,906,857 Объем
$7,906,857 Объем
220–239
<1%
240-259
13%
260-279
39%
280-299
30%
300-319
13%
320–339
3%
340-359
1%
360–379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400–419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440–459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560–579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 39.3%
280-299 30%
240-259 12.8%
300-319 13%
$7,906,857 Объем
$7,906,857 Объем
220–239
<1%
240-259
13%
260-279
39%
280-299
30%
300-319
13%
320–339
3%
340-359
1%
360–379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400–419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440–459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560–579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 260-279 tweets during March 20-27, 2026, at 38.9% implied probability, closely trailed by 280-299 at 30%, reflecting his steady high-volume X activity averaging 35-45 posts daily in recent months amid Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. This range stems from consistent weekly tallies in Q4 2024 and early 2025, with no verified slowdowns despite platform algorithm tweaks boosting engagement. Competitive dynamics hinge on event-driven volatility—major announcements or controversies could push toward 300+, while quieter periods favor the lower band—though baseline habits dominate without confirmed 2026 catalysts like earnings calls or launches. Odds underscore skin-in-the-game wisdom, with resolution tied to official X archives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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