Market icon

Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?

Market icon

Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$402,974 Объем

>99% chance
Polymarket

$402,974 Объем

On December 9, Luigi Mangione was detained as person of interest in the ongoing manhunt related to Brian Thompson. It has been reported that at the time of detainment, Mangione was in possession of a manifesto. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the manifesto written by Luigi Mangione is made public by 11:59 PM ET on December 13, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The entire manifesto must be released for this market to resolve to "Yes". If the manifesto is released with redactions, it will still count. However mere snippets or quotes will not count to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

On December 9, Luigi Mangione was detained as person of interest in the ongoing manhunt related to Brian Thompson. It has been reported that at the time of detainment, Mangione was in possession of a manifesto.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the manifesto written by Luigi Mangione is made public by 11:59 PM ET on December 13, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The entire manifesto must be released for this market to resolve to "Yes". If the manifesto is released with redactions, it will still count. However mere snippets or quotes will not count to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$402,974
Дата окончания
Dec 13, 2024
Открытие рынка
Dec 9, 2024, 1:31 PM ET
On December 9, Luigi Mangione was detained as person of interest in the ongoing manhunt related to Brian Thompson. It has been reported that at the time of detainment, Mangione was in possession of a manifesto. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the manifesto written by Luigi Mangione is made public by 11:59 PM ET on December 13, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The entire manifesto must be released for this market to resolve to "Yes". If the manifesto is released with redactions, it will still count. However mere snippets or quotes will not count to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

On December 9, Luigi Mangione was detained as person of interest in the ongoing manhunt related to Brian Thompson. It has been reported that at the time of detainment, Mangione was in possession of a manifesto. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the manifesto written by Luigi Mangione is made public by 11:59 PM ET on December 13, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The entire manifesto must be released for this market to resolve to "Yes". If the manifesto is released with redactions, it will still count. However mere snippets or quotes will not count to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

On December 9, Luigi Mangione was detained as person of interest in the ongoing manhunt related to Brian Thompson. It has been reported that at the time of detainment, Mangione was in possession of a manifesto.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the manifesto written by Luigi Mangione is made public by 11:59 PM ET on December 13, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The entire manifesto must be released for this market to resolve to "Yes". If the manifesto is released with redactions, it will still count. However mere snippets or quotes will not count to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$402,974
Дата окончания
Dec 13, 2024
Открытие рынка
Dec 9, 2024, 1:31 PM ET
On December 9, Luigi Mangione was detained as person of interest in the ongoing manhunt related to Brian Thompson. It has been reported that at the time of detainment, Mangione was in possession of a manifesto. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the manifesto written by Luigi Mangione is made public by 11:59 PM ET on December 13, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The entire manifesto must be released for this market to resolve to "Yes". If the manifesto is released with redactions, it will still count. However mere snippets or quotes will not count to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $403K с момента запуска рынка Dec 9, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.