Еще одно закрытие правительства США и победитель в 2026 году?
Остановка правительства и Демократическая партия 79.6%
Остановка правительства и Республиканская партия 18.6%
Без шатдауна и Демократическая партия <1%
Без шатдауна и Республиканская партия <1%
$186,416 Объем
$186,416 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Остановка правительства и Демократическая партия
$36,852 Объем
80%
Остановка правительства и Демократическая партия
$36,852 Объем
80%
Остановка правительства и Республиканская партия
$42,684 Объем
19%
Остановка правительства и Республиканская партия
$42,684 Объем
19%
Без шатдауна и Демократическая партия
$63,416 Объем
<1%
Без шатдауна и Демократическая партия
$63,416 Объем
<1%
Без шатдауна и Республиканская партия
$43,464 Объем
<1%
Без шатдауна и Республиканская партия
$43,464 Объем
<1%
Правила
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).
The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
This market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
2. Which party will win the House in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).
The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
This market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
2. Which party will win the House in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
This market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
2. Which party will win the House in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Создано: Dec 9, 2025, 1:44 PM ET
Объем
$186,416Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Создано
Dec 9, 2025, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Еще одно закрытие правительства США и победитель в 2026 году?
Остановка правительства и Демократическая партия 79.6%
Остановка правительства и Республиканская партия 18.6%
Без шатдауна и Демократическая партия <1%
Без шатдауна и Республиканская партия <1%
$186,416 Объем
$186,416 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Остановка правительства и Демократическая партия
$36,852 Объем
80%
Остановка правительства и Республиканская партия
$42,684 Объем
19%
Без шатдауна и Демократическая партия
$63,416 Объем
<1%
Без шатдауна и Республиканская партия
$43,464 Объем
<1%
О событии
Объем
$186,416Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Создано
Dec 9, 2025, 1:44 PM ETResolver
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