Market icon

Another India x Pakistan ceasefire announced by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$83,329 Объем

Правила

On May 10, India and Pakistan announced a ceasefire (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/05/10/world/pakistan-india-kashmir), however continued hostilities have been reported (see: https://x.com/ShivAroor/status/1921228906230628691)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between India and Pakistan is announced between May 10, 12:00 PM and May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

An announced agreement by both India and Pakistan to reinstate the previous agreed upon May 10th ceasefire deal will qualify.

If the agreement is announced by both countries before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards.

Qualifying agreements must be announced by both countries. A formal, signed agreement between the countries is not necessary to resolve this market, however explicit statements made by both countries that they are ceasing military action for an overlapping timeframe is required.

Mere de-escalation or an absence of military activity will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" without explicit public statements from both sides indicating a ceasefire.

Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply a specific theater, or type of military action will not count.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both India and Pakistan.
Объем
$83,329
Дата окончания
May 16, 2025
Дата создания
May 10, 2025, 12:37 PM ET
On May 10, India and Pakistan announced a ceasefire (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/05/10/world/pakistan-india-kashmir), however continued hostilities have been reported (see: https://x.com/ShivAroor/status/1921228906230628691) This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between India and Pakistan is announced between May 10, 12:00 PM and May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. An announced agreement by both India and Pakistan to reinstate the previous agreed upon May 10th ceasefire deal will qualify. If the agreement is announced by both countries before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Qualifying agreements must be announced by both countries. A formal, signed agreement between the countries is not necessary to resolve this market, however explicit statements made by both countries that they are ceasing military action for an overlapping timeframe is required. Mere de-escalation or an absence of military activity will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" without explicit public statements from both sides indicating a ceasefire. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply a specific theater, or type of military action will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both India and Pakistan.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Market icon

Another India x Pakistan ceasefire announced by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$83,329 Объем

О нас

On May 10, India and Pakistan announced a ceasefire (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/05/10/world/pakistan-india-kashmir), however continued hostilities have been reported (see: https://x.com/ShivAroor/status/1921228906230628691)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between India and Pakistan is announced between May 10, 12:00 PM and May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

An announced agreement by both India and Pakistan to reinstate the previous agreed upon May 10th ceasefire deal will qualify.

If the agreement is announced by both countries before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards.

Qualifying agreements must be announced by both countries. A formal, signed agreement between the countries is not necessary to resolve this market, however explicit statements made by both countries that they are ceasing military action for an overlapping timeframe is required.

Mere de-escalation or an absence of military activity will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" without explicit public statements from both sides indicating a ceasefire.

Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply a specific theater, or type of military action will not count.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both India and Pakistan.
Объем
$83,329
Дата окончания
May 16, 2025
Дата создания
May 10, 2025, 12:37 PM ET
On May 10, India and Pakistan announced a ceasefire (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/05/10/world/pakistan-india-kashmir), however continued hostilities have been reported (see: https://x.com/ShivAroor/status/1921228906230628691) This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between India and Pakistan is announced between May 10, 12:00 PM and May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. An announced agreement by both India and Pakistan to reinstate the previous agreed upon May 10th ceasefire deal will qualify. If the agreement is announced by both countries before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Qualifying agreements must be announced by both countries. A formal, signed agreement between the countries is not necessary to resolve this market, however explicit statements made by both countries that they are ceasing military action for an overlapping timeframe is required. Mere de-escalation or an absence of military activity will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" without explicit public statements from both sides indicating a ceasefire. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply a specific theater, or type of military action will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both India and Pakistan.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.