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Soberania previsões e probabilidades

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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

10%

$59.9K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

16%

$45.4K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

125

Ends em 7 meses

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

6%

$34M Vol.

$216K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

4%

$2M Vol.

$80.1K Liq.

11

Ends em 7 meses

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

14%

$3.4K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

15%

$28 Vol.

$584 Liq.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

13%

$10M Vol.

$81.5K Liq.

271

Ends em 7 meses

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

4%

$2.8K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

135

Ends em 7 meses

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

8%

$44.0K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

7

Ends em 7 meses

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

76%

50

$21.0K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

11%

$68.1K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

75%

$616K Vol.

$45.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

2%

$3.5K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

57%

December 31, 2027

$501K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

31

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

99%

$1M Vol.

$108K Liq.

72

Ends em 15 dias

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$15M Vol.

$469K today

$2M Liq.

121

Ends em 7 meses

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

<1%

$39.5K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

2

Ends em 15 dias

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

56%

Petro - Colombia President

$840K Vol.

$335K Liq.

12

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Soberania.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Soberania that lets you track or trade on predictions like “U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $70.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran leader end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Soberania predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.