Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?
Defesa·Politics

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?

2%

March 31, 2026

$574K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

36

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Defesa·Politics

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

6%

$182K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

8

Ends in 17 days

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
Defesa·Politics

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

6%

March 31

$488K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Defesa·SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

36%

$243K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Defesa·Politics

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

20%

$122K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
Defesa·Politics

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

13%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

78

Ends in 4 months

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Defesa·Iran

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

17%

$287K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
Defesa·Politics

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

14%

$34.5K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Defesa·SpaceX

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

6%

$4.9K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Defesa·Politics

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

22%

$90.2K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 4 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Defesa·SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$91.2K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 10 months

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Defesa·Politics

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

7%

$0 Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Defesa·SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

18%

$0 Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

What will Trump post this week? (March 9 - March 15)
Defesa·Politics

What will Trump post this week? (March 9 - March 15)

50%

Wall Street

$20.8K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
Defesa·Politics

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

86%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$289K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

46

MegaETH airdrop by...?
Defesa·Crypto

MegaETH airdrop by...?

64%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

106

Ends in 4 months

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?
Defesa·Finance

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

51%

↓ 18450

$134 Vol.

$436 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
Defesa·Sports

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

3%

Nkosi Tafari

$22.8K Vol.

$53.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NCAAM: Naismith Defensive Player of the Year
Defesa·Sports

NCAAM: Naismith Defensive Player of the Year

44%

Yaxel Lendeborg

$0 Vol.

$905 Liq.

Ends in 24 days

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Defesa·Crypto

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

70%

>$600M

$13M Vol.

$358K Liq.

245

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Defesa.

Polymarket currently hosts 124 active markets for Defesa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Defesa predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.