Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?
Defesa·Politics

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?

2%

March 31, 2026

$575K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

36

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Defesa·Politics

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

12%

$183K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

9

Ends in 16 days

5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Defesa·SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

36%

$248K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
Defesa·Politics

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

6%

March 31

$489K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Defesa·Politics

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

19%

$122K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
Defesa·Politics

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

13%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

78

Ends in 4 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Defesa·SpaceX

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

6%

$4.9K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Defesa·Iran

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

17%

$287K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Defesa·SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$91.2K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 10 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Defesa·Politics

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

22%

$90.2K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

10

Ends in 4 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Defesa·SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

18%

$124K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
Defesa·Politics

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

14%

$34.5K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Defesa·Politics

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

7%

$40.5K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will Trump post this week? (March 9 - March 15)
Defesa·Politics

What will Trump post this week? (March 9 - March 15)

100%

Wall Street

$25.6K Vol.

$216K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
Defesa·Politics

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

86%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$289K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

46

MegaETH airdrop by...?
Defesa·Crypto

MegaETH airdrop by...?

63%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$30.3K Liq.

106

Ends in 4 months

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?
Defesa·Finance

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

50%

↓ 18450

$46 Vol.

$488 Liq.

Ends in 17 days

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
Defesa·Sports

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

8%

Rodrigues

$22.8K Vol.

$53.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NCAAM: Naismith Defensive Player of the Year
Defesa·Sports

NCAAM: Naismith Defensive Player of the Year

47%

Maliq Brown

$0 Vol.

$942 Liq.

Ends in 23 days

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
Defesa·Crypto

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

86%

Silver

$31.6K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Defesa.

Polymarket currently hosts 124 active markets for Defesa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Defesa predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.