Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.6% implied probability for President Donald Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the complete absence of any announced plans, itinerary, or diplomatic signals in his public schedule amid escalating foreign policy focus on the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, including a national address on April 1 declaring the war nearly concluded. Earlier March speculation about a potential Trump-Kim summit tied to an Asia trip, including China's late-March summit, failed to materialize despite initial openness to talks without preconditions, leaving no momentum for North Korean travel. With under four weeks remaining, logistical hurdles, North Korea's Russia alignment, and stalled denuclearization dialogue reinforce high confidence; only an unprecedented late invitation from Kim Jong Un or sudden bilateral breakthrough could alter outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$86,195 Vol.
$86,195 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Sim
$86,195 Vol.
$86,195 Vol.
30 abr 2026
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.6% implied probability for President Donald Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the complete absence of any announced plans, itinerary, or diplomatic signals in his public schedule amid escalating foreign policy focus on the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, including a national address on April 1 declaring the war nearly concluded. Earlier March speculation about a potential Trump-Kim summit tied to an Asia trip, including China's late-March summit, failed to materialize despite initial openness to talks without preconditions, leaving no momentum for North Korean travel. With under four weeks remaining, logistical hurdles, North Korea's Russia alignment, and stalled denuclearization dialogue reinforce high confidence; only an unprecedented late invitation from Kim Jong Un or sudden bilateral breakthrough could alter outcomes.
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$86,195Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.6% implied probability for President Donald Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the complete absence of any announced plans, itinerary, or diplomatic signals in his public schedule amid escalating foreign policy focus on the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, including a national address on April 1 declaring the war nearly concluded. Earlier March speculation about a potential Trump-Kim summit tied to an Asia trip, including China's late-March summit, failed to materialize despite initial openness to talks without preconditions, leaving no momentum for North Korean travel. With under four weeks remaining, logistical hurdles, North Korea's Russia alignment, and stalled denuclearization dialogue reinforce high confidence; only an unprecedented late invitation from Kim Jong Un or sudden bilateral breakthrough could alter outcomes.
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$86,195Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.6% implied probability for President Donald Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the complete absence of any announced plans, itinerary, or diplomatic signals in his public schedule amid escalating foreign policy focus on the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, including a national address on April 1 declaring the war nearly concluded. Earlier March speculation about a potential Trump-Kim summit tied to an Asia trip, including China's late-March summit, failed to materialize despite initial openness to talks without preconditions, leaving no momentum for North Korean travel. With under four weeks remaining, logistical hurdles, North Korea's Russia alignment, and stalled denuclearization dialogue reinforce high confidence; only an unprecedented late invitation from Kim Jong Un or sudden bilateral breakthrough could alter outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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