Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.3% implied probability for Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla, escaping again by July 31. This near-certainty stems from his advanced age curbing the agility behind his famous 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout, combined with major enclosure upgrades and 23 incident-free years since. Recent announcements of his controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding have amplified viral memes but underscore meticulous zoo protocols that minimize risks during transport and acclimation. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim, potentially limited to unforeseen logistical hiccups or initial habitat adjustment issues, though accredited facilities prioritize safety above all. The market reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism toward another high-profile escape in this tightly managed scenario.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSerá que o Pequeno Joe vai escapar de novo?
Será que o Pequeno Joe vai escapar de novo?
Sim
NOVO
NOVO
31 jul 2026
Sim
NOVO
NOVO
31 jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.3% implied probability for Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla, escaping again by July 31. This near-certainty stems from his advanced age curbing the agility behind his famous 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout, combined with major enclosure upgrades and 23 incident-free years since. Recent announcements of his controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding have amplified viral memes but underscore meticulous zoo protocols that minimize risks during transport and acclimation. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim, potentially limited to unforeseen logistical hiccups or initial habitat adjustment issues, though accredited facilities prioritize safety above all. The market reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism toward another high-profile escape in this tightly managed scenario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$774Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.3% implied probability for Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla, escaping again by July 31. This near-certainty stems from his advanced age curbing the agility behind his famous 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout, combined with major enclosure upgrades and 23 incident-free years since. Recent announcements of his controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding have amplified viral memes but underscore meticulous zoo protocols that minimize risks during transport and acclimation. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim, potentially limited to unforeseen logistical hiccups or initial habitat adjustment issues, though accredited facilities prioritize safety above all. The market reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism toward another high-profile escape in this tightly managed scenario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Volume
$774Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.3% implied probability for Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla, escaping again by July 31. This near-certainty stems from his advanced age curbing the agility behind his famous 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout, combined with major enclosure upgrades and 23 incident-free years since. Recent announcements of his controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding have amplified viral memes but underscore meticulous zoo protocols that minimize risks during transport and acclimation. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim, potentially limited to unforeseen logistical hiccups or initial habitat adjustment issues, though accredited facilities prioritize safety above all. The market reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism toward another high-profile escape in this tightly managed scenario.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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