Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign continues to drive trader focus on potential 2026 purges, exemplified by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection's (CCDI) recent probe of Central Military Commission (CMC) political commissar Miao Hua announced in early December 2024 for serious violations, following the November 2024 expulsions of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). These actions signal intensified loyalty tests within the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and party elite amid preparations for the 2027 21st Party Congress. Traders monitor opaque CCDI announcements, Politburo meetings, and the March 2025 Two Sessions for personnel shifts, as historical patterns show purges peaking before major congresses to eliminate rivals and ensure alignment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$61,090 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
19%
Li Xi
11%
Cai Qi
8%
Ding Xuexiang
8%
Zhang Shengmin
8%
Wang Yi
6%
Wang Huning
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Zhao Leji
4%
$61,090 Vol.
Dong Jun
$8,149 Vol.
19%
Li Xi
$14,021 Vol.
11%
Cai Qi
$22,779 Vol.
8%
Ding Xuexiang
$0 Vol.
8%
Zhang Shengmin
$10,416 Vol.
8%
Wang Yi
$0 Vol.
6%
Wang Huning
$0 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$0 Vol.
4%
Zhao Leji
$5,724 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign continues to drive trader focus on potential 2026 purges, exemplified by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection's (CCDI) recent probe of Central Military Commission (CMC) political commissar Miao Hua announced in early December 2024 for serious violations, following the November 2024 expulsions of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). These actions signal intensified loyalty tests within the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and party elite amid preparations for the 2027 21st Party Congress. Traders monitor opaque CCDI announcements, Politburo meetings, and the March 2025 Two Sessions for personnel shifts, as historical patterns show purges peaking before major congresses to eliminate rivals and ensure alignment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$61,090Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign continues to drive trader focus on potential 2026 purges, exemplified by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection's (CCDI) recent probe of Central Military Commission (CMC) political commissar Miao Hua announced in early December 2024 for serious violations, following the November 2024 expulsions of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). These actions signal intensified loyalty tests within the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and party elite amid preparations for the 2027 21st Party Congress. Traders monitor opaque CCDI announcements, Politburo meetings, and the March 2025 Two Sessions for personnel shifts, as historical patterns show purges peaking before major congresses to eliminate rivals and ensure alignment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$61,090Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign continues to drive trader focus on potential 2026 purges, exemplified by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection's (CCDI) recent probe of Central Military Commission (CMC) political commissar Miao Hua announced in early December 2024 for serious violations, following the November 2024 expulsions of former defense ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). These actions signal intensified loyalty tests within the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and party elite amid preparations for the 2027 21st Party Congress. Traders monitor opaque CCDI announcements, Politburo meetings, and the March 2025 Two Sessions for personnel shifts, as historical patterns show purges peaking before major congresses to eliminate rivals and ensure alignment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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