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Desporto·Mma

Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?

Market icon
Desporto·Mma

Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?

Tom Aspinall 39%

Derrick Lewis 27.5%

Sergei Pavlovich 25.1%

Ciryl Gane 16%

Polymarket

$29,039 Vol.

Tom Aspinall 39%

Derrick Lewis 27.5%

Sergei Pavlovich 25.1%

Ciryl Gane 16%

Polymarket

$29,039 Vol.

Tom Aspinall

$985 Vol.

39%

Derrick Lewis

$3,063 Vol.

28%

Sergei Pavlovich

$0 Vol.

25%

Ciryl Gane

$2,211 Vol.

16%

Curtis Blaydes

$0 Vol.

7%

Marcin Tybura

$22,780 Vol.

7%

Serghei Spivac

$0 Vol.

15%

Alexander Volkov

$0 Vol.

9%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$0 Vol.

1%

Jailton Almeida

$0 Vol.

7%

Ante Delija

$0 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus favors Tom Aspinall at 38% implied probability to remain UFC Heavyweight champion by year's end, buoyed by his status as reigning titleholder and elite finishing ability despite an ongoing eye injury recovery that has stalled the division since late 2025. Recent March updates confirm Aspinall's gym return without head contact, fueling optimism for a late-2026 comeback amid an upcoming Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane interim title clash. Derrick Lewis sits close at 27.5% on knockout power despite a January TKO loss to Waldo Cortes-Acosta (16.5%), while Sergei Pavlovich (25.6%) rides 2025 decision wins over Rozenstruik and Cortes-Acosta, and Ante Delija (24.5%) climbs to #9 in rankings on consistent contention form. Heavyweight volatility and stylistic matchups keep the field tightly contested.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$29,039
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus favors Tom Aspinall at 38% implied probability to remain UFC Heavyweight champion by year's end, buoyed by his status as reigning titleholder and elite finishing ability despite an ongoing eye injury recovery that has stalled the division since late 2025. Recent March updates confirm Aspinall's gym return without head contact, fueling optimism for a late-2026 comeback amid an upcoming Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane interim title clash. Derrick Lewis sits close at 27.5% on knockout power despite a January TKO loss to Waldo Cortes-Acosta (16.5%), while Sergei Pavlovich (25.6%) rides 2025 decision wins over Rozenstruik and Cortes-Acosta, and Ante Delija (24.5%) climbs to #9 in rankings on consistent contention form. Heavyweight volatility and stylistic matchups keep the field tightly contested.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$29,039
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Aspinall" at 39%, followed by "Derrick Lewis" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $29K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Tom Aspinall" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Derrick Lewis" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão dos Pesos-Pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.